Experienced Trader Sounds the Alarm on Bitcoin – “If It Can’t Close Above $79,472 Today, There’s a Very High Chance That…”

Sherlock, an anonymous trader known for his technical analysis in the cryptocurrency markets, shared a noteworthy new assessment regarding Bitcoin price movements. Sherlock, the founder of Foxian, argued that a statistical model based specifically on weekly price patterns is about to be reintroduced.

According to Sherlock, Bitcoin retreated below last week’s high after a limited breakout of just $12. The analyst stated that this pattern constitutes a significant technical signal known as a “failed liquidity sweep.” Such movements, according to the analyst, generally indicate that the market is unable to continue its upward trend and that weakness may develop in the short term.

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According to the shared data, 43 different scenarios have been identified since 2017 where Bitcoin surpassed its previous week’s peak on Monday but failed to close above that level. In 40 of these instances, or 93%, Bitcoin fell at least 1% below its Monday closing price later that week. Sherlock argued that this percentage is statistically quite strong and that the probability of it occurring by chance is extremely low (0.0000003%).

Deeper declines are also noteworthy. According to the analysis, in 32 of these 43 examples, the Bitcoin price retreated by at least 2 percent during the week. The average weekly decline was -5.9 percent, while the median decline was recorded as -4.4 percent. The sharpest decline reached -27 percent.

Sherlock also pointed to the critical level for the formation to become valid. According to the analyst, the pattern would be triggered if Bitcoin closed below $79,472 today, and historical data shows that this scenario usually results in a downward price movement within the same week.

*This is not investment advice.

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