The post Markets Expect October Fed Rate Cut as Bitcoin Repeats Pattern appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin traders are preparing for a rise or fall in the price of Bitcoin, as the time for the Federal Reserve policy meeting for October approaches. The decision would lower the federal funds rate to a target range between 3.75% and 4.00%, continuing the central bank’s gradual easing cycle that began earlier this year. Traders Eye Powell’s Comments as Markets Fully Price In Fed Cut Market data from CME Group and Kalshi show overwhelming expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut, with probabilities reaching 97.8% to 98%. CME data shows open interest remains high around Fed futures contracts. The chart reflects traders’ strong confidence in a 25bps Fed rate cut this month Previously, the rising odds of an October rate cut helped fuel Bitcoin’s price surge. Meanwhile, the Kalshi market have traded more than $34 million in trading volume associated with this outcome for this month. The overwhelming consensus for a 25-basis-point cut underscores the market’s belief that the Fed is nearing the end of its tightening cycle. Crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades noted that today marks another pivotal FOMC day. He said the 25-basis-point cut itself is widely priced in and unlikely to move markets beyond short-term volatility. Traders can follow the FOMC meeting and watch out for key expectations that could affect the crypto market. Also, analyst Daan emphasized that the focus will shift to Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting remarks. Traders will look for clarity on when the Fed might end quantitative tightening (QT) and possibly begin a new round of quantitative easing (QE) in 2026. According to Daan, another Fed rate cut is already priced in for the December 2025 meeting with over 95% probability. He expects Powell’s tone on liquidity policy and balance sheet management to drive the next market reaction. Bitcoin’s Post-FOMC Pattern Hints at November… The post Markets Expect October Fed Rate Cut as Bitcoin Repeats Pattern appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Bitcoin traders are preparing for a rise or fall in the price of Bitcoin, as the time for the Federal Reserve policy meeting for October approaches. The decision would lower the federal funds rate to a target range between 3.75% and 4.00%, continuing the central bank’s gradual easing cycle that began earlier this year. Traders Eye Powell’s Comments as Markets Fully Price In Fed Cut Market data from CME Group and Kalshi show overwhelming expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut, with probabilities reaching 97.8% to 98%. CME data shows open interest remains high around Fed futures contracts. The chart reflects traders’ strong confidence in a 25bps Fed rate cut this month Previously, the rising odds of an October rate cut helped fuel Bitcoin’s price surge. Meanwhile, the Kalshi market have traded more than $34 million in trading volume associated with this outcome for this month. The overwhelming consensus for a 25-basis-point cut underscores the market’s belief that the Fed is nearing the end of its tightening cycle. Crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades noted that today marks another pivotal FOMC day. He said the 25-basis-point cut itself is widely priced in and unlikely to move markets beyond short-term volatility. Traders can follow the FOMC meeting and watch out for key expectations that could affect the crypto market. Also, analyst Daan emphasized that the focus will shift to Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting remarks. Traders will look for clarity on when the Fed might end quantitative tightening (QT) and possibly begin a new round of quantitative easing (QE) in 2026. According to Daan, another Fed rate cut is already priced in for the December 2025 meeting with over 95% probability. He expects Powell’s tone on liquidity policy and balance sheet management to drive the next market reaction. Bitcoin’s Post-FOMC Pattern Hints at November…

Markets Expect October Fed Rate Cut as Bitcoin Repeats Pattern

Bitcoin traders are preparing for a rise or fall in the price of Bitcoin, as the time for the Federal Reserve policy meeting for October approaches. The decision would lower the federal funds rate to a target range between 3.75% and 4.00%, continuing the central bank’s gradual easing cycle that began earlier this year.

Traders Eye Powell’s Comments as Markets Fully Price In Fed Cut

Market data from CME Group and Kalshi show overwhelming expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut, with probabilities reaching 97.8% to 98%. CME data shows open interest remains high around Fed futures contracts.

The chart reflects traders’ strong confidence in a 25bps Fed rate cut this month

Previously, the rising odds of an October rate cut helped fuel Bitcoin’s price surge. Meanwhile, the Kalshi market have traded more than $34 million in trading volume associated with this outcome for this month. The overwhelming consensus for a 25-basis-point cut underscores the market’s belief that the Fed is nearing the end of its tightening cycle.

Crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades noted that today marks another pivotal FOMC day. He said the 25-basis-point cut itself is widely priced in and unlikely to move markets beyond short-term volatility. Traders can follow the FOMC meeting and watch out for key expectations that could affect the crypto market.

Also, analyst Daan emphasized that the focus will shift to Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting remarks. Traders will look for clarity on when the Fed might end quantitative tightening (QT) and possibly begin a new round of quantitative easing (QE) in 2026.

According to Daan, another Fed rate cut is already priced in for the December 2025 meeting with over 95% probability. He expects Powell’s tone on liquidity policy and balance sheet management to drive the next market reaction.

Bitcoin’s Post-FOMC Pattern Hints at November Price Recovery

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s price pattern around past FOMC meetings has drawn renewed attention. Analyst Ted Pillows observed that BTC has dropped between 6% and 8% following the last three Fed announcements.

After those declines, Bitcoin proceeded to make new all-time highs till the next meeting. The same setup is now re-forming with BTC price close to the $113,000 mark before the October rate decision. Analysis showed that Bitcoin price could eye the $120,000 zone as the likelihood of a Fed rate cut strengthens.

All the Fed rate cuts have exerted sell pressure on Bitcoin in the short term before it regained its upward trend. If this setup repeats itself, then a plunge followed by a period of recovery into November should be expected.

Source: https://coingape.com/markets-expect-october-fed-rate-cut-as-bitcoin-repeats-pattern/

Market Opportunity
RISE Logo
RISE Price(RISE)
$0.005969
$0.005969$0.005969
+1.56%
USD
RISE (RISE) Live Price Chart
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Trust Wallet issues security alert: It will never ask users for their mnemonic phrase or private key.

Trust Wallet issues security alert: It will never ask users for their mnemonic phrase or private key.

PANews reported on January 17 that Trust Wallet issued a security warning on its X platform, stating that it will never ask users for their mnemonic phrases or
Share
PANews2026/01/17 21:10
Crypto Market Cap Edges Up 2% as Bitcoin Approaches $118K After Fed Rate Trim

Crypto Market Cap Edges Up 2% as Bitcoin Approaches $118K After Fed Rate Trim

The global crypto market cap rose 2% to $4.2 trillion on Thursday, lifted by Bitcoin’s steady climb toward $118,000 after the Fed delivered its first interest rate cut of the year. Gains were measured, however, as investors weighed the central bank’s cautious tone on future policy moves. Bitcoin last traded 1% higher at $117,426. Ether rose 2.8% to $4,609. XRP also gained, rising 2.9% to $3.10. Fed Chair Jerome Powell described Wednesday’s quarter-point reduction as a risk-management step, stressing that policymakers were in no hurry to speed up the easing cycle. His comments dampened expectations of more aggressive cuts, limiting enthusiasm across risk assets. Traders Anticipated Fed Rate Trim, Leaving Little Room for Surprise Rally The Federal Open Market Committee voted 11-to-1 to lower the benchmark lending rate to a range of 4.00% to 4.25%. The sole dissent came from newly appointed governor Stephen Miran, who pushed for a half-point cut. Traders were largely prepared for the move. Futures markets tracked by the CME FedWatch tool had assigned a 96% probability to a 25 basis point cut, making the decision widely anticipated. That advance positioning meant much of the potential boost was already priced in, creating what analysts described as a “buy the rumour, sell the news” environment. Fed Rate Decision Creates Conditions for Crypto, But Traders Still Hold Back Andrew Forson, president of DeFi Technologies, said lower borrowing costs would eventually steer more money toward digital assets. “A lower cost of capital indicates more capital flows into the digital assets space because the risk hurdle rate for money is lower,” he noted. He added that staking products and blockchain projects could become attractive alternatives to traditional bonds, offering both yield and appreciation. Despite the cut, crypto markets remained calm. Open interest in Bitcoin futures held steady and no major liquidation cascades followed the Fed’s decision. Analysts pointed to Powell’s language and upcoming economic data as the key factors for traders before building larger positions. Powell’s Caution Tempers Immediate Impact of Fed Rate Move on Crypto Markets History also suggests crypto rallies after rate cuts often take time. When the Fed eased in Dec. 2024, Bitcoin briefly surged 5% cent before consolidating, with sustained gains arriving only weeks later. This time, market watchers are bracing for a similar pattern. Powell’s insistence on caution, combined with uncertainty around inflation and growth, has kept short-term volatility muted even as sentiment for risk assets improves. BitMine’s Tom Lee this week predicted that Bitcoin and Ether could deliver “monster gains” in the next three months if the Fed continues on an easing path. His view echoes broader expectations that liquidity-sensitive assets will outperform once the cycle gathers pace. For now, the crypto sector has digested the Fed’s move with restraint. Traders remain focused on signals from the central bank’s October meeting to determine whether Wednesday’s step marks the beginning of a broader policy shift or just a one-off adjustment
Share
CryptoNews2025/09/18 13:14
Trust Wallet Alerts Users After Security Incident

Trust Wallet Alerts Users After Security Incident

The post Trust Wallet Alerts Users After Security Incident appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Points: Trust Wallet issues alert after $7 million theft from
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2026/01/17 21:43