Cardano Price Prediction: ADA Hits Key Support as On-Chain Metrics Flash Rare Buy Signal

Cardano price has dropped into fresh 90-day lows, and the market is finally starting to treat this move as a full capitulation phase. What makes this moment interesting is that these deep pullbacks have historically marked the same zones where Cardano begins building its strongest recoveries. With sentiment washed out and positioning heavily reset, ADA is entering one of those rare periods where long-term opportunity and short-term pressure are converging.

Cardano price is trading around $0.48, up 2.87% in the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin

Sentiment Reset as ADA Hits 90-Day Lows

Market sentiment around ADA has slipped into full capitulation territory, with price sitting at fresh 90-day lows while Alex expresses clear despair. These conditions often appear late in a downtrend, and historically, ADA has shown its strongest rebounds from similar exhaustion phases. The broader conversation across the ADA community hints that many retail participants have already exited, leaving repositioning opportunities for patient buyers who understand Cardano’s long-cycle behavior.

Cardano price has now slipped into a deep capitulation zone at 90-day lows, a level where past cycles have often sparked sharp recovery phases. Source: Alex via X

The tone across social platforms reflects a classic oversold environment: fear is high, conviction is low, and short-term emotions are overshadowing fundamentals. These phases rarely last long, but they do create conditions where accumulation becomes more favorable for long-term participants.

On-Chain Metrics Place ADA Deep in the Buy Zone

Santiment’s 30-Day MVRV metric shows ADA sliding into the “Extreme Buy Zone,” where previous negative-MVRV stretches have produced outsized recovery moves. The chart highlights that most recent buyers are underwater, a typical bottom-building condition where selling pressure becomes depleted. Historically, when ADA enters this area, volatility follows, often to the upside.

ADA’s 30-Day MVRV has dropped into the Extreme Buy Zone, a level that has repeatedly triggered strong rebound phases in past cycles. Source: Coin Bureau via X

This on-chain context reinforces that the current drawdown is less about fundamentals and more about market positioning. As broader altcoins like LINK and ETH also dip into negative MVRV zones, the data suggests a synchronized value pocket forming across major L1 ecosystems, with ADA sitting closer to the deeper end of that zone.

ADA Approaches a Major Long-Term Support Region

TapTools’ chart shows Cardano price pressing into a long-term structural support around $0.45, a level that has historically acted as a cycle reset point. Price is trading below the 25-day and 99-day moving averages, showing clear momentum loss, but the multi-year support band sitting just below current levels has repeatedly produced strong medium-term reactions.

This is the area where long-term participants typically accumulate, especially when confluence aligns across moving averages, volume behavior, and historical trend reversals. If this support does its job again, ADA could stabilize and form a base for its next structural expansion.

ADA is now testing a long-term support band near $0.45, a zone that has repeatedly triggered strong trend resets in previous cycles. Source: TapTools via X

Cardano Price Prediction Points Towards the Next Target

Cardano’s weekly structure, shared in the Smcapitalclub’s chart, reveals a key demand block sitting just beneath current price, aligning perfectly with the long-term accumulation zone. Even if ADA prints a small bounce from here, the macro trend still leans towards a continuation into the lower part of the demand region unless buyers step in aggressively.

ADA’s weekly chart highlights a key demand block pointing towards the $0.36–$0.40 zone, the next major liquidity region on Smcapitalclub’s structure. Source: Smcapitalclub via X

Targets on the chart show the next major level between $0.36 and $0.40, where previous consolidation and liquidity buildup occurred. If Cardano price fully taps that region, it would complete a textbook cycle repetition, creating conditions for a stronger multi-week reversal. This remains the key area to watch for a sustainable trend shift.

Community Voices Push Back Against Selling at Lows

ADA’s community sentiment is beginning to stabilize, while analyst Sssebi warns that selling at these levels historically leads to regret. The chart shows Cardano price grinding down a clean descending structure, but also highlights oversold conditions and weakening downside momentum.

ADA’s community sentiment is stabilizing, with many warning that selling at these oversold levels has historically proven premature. Source: Sssebi via X

The conversation in the community is shifting towards accumulation rather than panic. Long-term stakers and analysts emphasize that Cardano tends to move in sharp cycles; the deepest sell-offs often happen right before trend resets. This aligns with the broader on-chain and technical context, indicating exhaustion rather than a fresh bearish continuation.

Final Thoughts

Cardano price now sits at the intersection of macro support, on-chain value zones, and sentiment capitulation, the same ingredients that shaped previous mid-cycle reversals. ADA charts show room for one more liquidity sweep towards the $0.36–$0.40 zone, but the broader structure looks increasingly mature for a reset.

What matters from here is whether ADA can stabilize, reclaim its short-term moving averages, and rebuild structure in this high-value region. With a negative MVRV flashing opportunity and long-term support approaching, the risk-reward profile strengthens for patient accumulation while volatility remains elevated.