Avalanche (AVAX) Price Prediction: Oversold Levels Strengthen Case for AVAX Rebound Towards $20+

AVAX crypto is slipping back into the same deep-value zone where past market cycles quietly reset before major rallies. With price pressing into long-term support and selling momentum fading, participants are watching closely to see if this is another early-stage bottom forming beneath the surface.

AVAX Crypto Back to Lower Levels

The latest data from Brave New Coin shows AVAX hovering around $14, retesting a region that historically acted as a long-term reset zone throughout late-2022 and mid-2023. Price has slowly bled into this level over the past three months, mirroring the prior accumulation structures that preceded major expansions in previous cycles. The multi-month downtrend is still intact, but AVAX is now getting closer to levels that can be exhausting for sellers to break below.

Avalanche’s current price is $14.26, down 1.98% in the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin

Trading volume on the chart continues to thin out as price compresses near long-term support, another characteristic that often appears near structural bottoms. If AVAX can stabilize here and prevent a weekly close below $11–$10, a slow grind back towards the mid-range at $18–$20 becomes the logical first step.

Accumulation Structure Strengthens Around the $11–$15 Zone

The accumulation narrative becomes clearer through Crypto Patel’s chart, where AVAX sits firmly inside the final accumulation zone between $11 and $15. This area aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, the wedge floor, and a four-year macro support, a rare cluster of technical confluence. Patel highlights how AVAX is already down more than 90% from its 2021 ATH, a drawdown historically seen only at major cycle lows.

AVAX is now sitting inside its final accumulation zone near $11–$15, a deep-value region historically linked to major cycle reversals. Source: Crypto Patel via X

The chart also shows a large multi-year descending wedge, with the current price touching the lower boundary. These structures tend to produce powerful breakouts when sellers lose control, especially when combined with deep Fibonacci retracements.

If AVAX confirms a breakout the roadmap remains similar:

• $43 as the first key reclaim level
• $85 aligned with previous distribution
• $145 at the mid-cycle range
• $302 as the full structural extension

While these are long-term targets, the strong cluster of support in the $15–$11 band keeps the bullish accumulation argument alive.

Momentum Indicators Hitting the Lowest Levels

Neothon’s chart shows a monthly RSI reading at its lowest point in AVAX’s entire trading history. These low conditions of this magnitude rarely appear, and when they do, they typically coincide with multi-quarter bottoms. The RSI flattening near the lower band is another early sign that selling pressure has reached exhaustion.

AVAX’s monthly RSI has hit its lowest level. Source: Neothon via X

If the RSI manages to curl upward in the coming weeks, it would mark a structural shift in momentum for the first time since early 2024. A reclaim of the 45–50 RSI zone would add weight to a more sustainable recovery phase.

AVAX Price Prediction: Pattern Hints at a Break Above $55.80

Bitcoinsensus highlights a clean weekly falling wedge, one of the strongest bullish reversal pattern in classical charting. Price has tapped the wedge support once again, respecting the structure that has held for nearly two years. Each interaction with the lower boundary has produced relief rallies, and the pattern is tightening, a common precursor to a breakout.

AVAX continues to respect its multi-year falling wedge, with tightening price action hinting at a potential breakout toward $55.80. Source: Bitcoinsensus via X

Volume on the lower-timeframe candles also suggests absorption rather than aggressive dumping, reinforcing the idea that buyers remain active in the background.

The breakout target sits near $55.80, matching the wedge’s measured move. For confirmation, AVAX crypto needs to reclaim the first major supply band around $22 to $25. If momentum aligns with the broader market recovery, the move towards $40+ becomes more realistic before attacking the wedge resistance.

Final Thoughts

AVAX crypto continues to hover around levels that historically marked deep-value buying opportunities. The alignment of long-term support, oversold indicators, multi-year Fibonacci zones, and wedge structures strengthens the case that the token is in a late-stage accumulation phase. While confirmation is still needed, the downside appears limited compared to the potential long-term upside.

If the broader crypto market stabilizes, AVAX may finally begin transitioning from slow bleed to recovery phase, with $18, $22, and $43 becoming the first checkpoints on its path back towards macro resistance levels.