The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a 4.4% unemployment rate for September 2025, the highest in nearly four years, sparking discussions within the crypto community.
This uptick in unemployment suggests potential Federal Reserve monetary policy easing, influencing investor sentiment towards digital assets and possibly initiating a crypto bull market.
The U.S. unemployment rate reached 4.4% in September 2025, highlighting potential economic cooling and affecting the cryptocurrency market.
The rising unemployment rate suggests potential impacts on monetary policy, affecting crypto market sentiment.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported an increase to 4.4% in unemployment, the highest since October 2021. This suggests a potential economic shift that could influence Federal Reserve policy.
Arthur Hayes and Raoul Pal, crypto leaders, noted the potential for a bullish crypto market. Hayes stated, “If the Fed reacts to a rising unemployment rate and pauses further hikes, crypto asset prices will move. Watch for liquidity pulses – that’s your market signal.” Their insights suggest possible liquidity changes as investors respond to economic indicators.
The rising unemployment rate affects both investors’ risk appetite and potential policy moves by the Federal Reserve. Crypto leaders anticipate liquidity shifts in the market as a result.
Financial markets, particularly cryptocurrencies, are monitoring Federal Reserve responses. Lower rates could enhance crypto appeal, leading to positive market momentum, according to experts.
Historically, crypto markets often rally when U.S. economic data signals monetary easing possibilities. Past events show crypto gains during economic weakness or rate pauses.
Experts anticipate policy changes might positively affect crypto markets. Trends and data indicate that markets could see benefits from Federal Reserve’s dovish shifts. Raoul Pal commented, “Higher unemployment plus the chance of looser monetary policy? Macro catalysts for a crypto run-up, not a guarantee, but it sets the stage.”
| Disclaimer: The information on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile, and investing involves risk. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor. |


Powell said the Federal Open Market Committee is weighing interest rates on a meeting-by-meeting basis, with no long-term consensus. US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the 19 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) remain divided on additional interest rate cuts in 2025.At Wednesday’s press conference after the Fed’s 25-basis-point rate cut, Powell said the central bank is trying to balance its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability in an unusual environment where the labor market is weakening even as inflation remains elevated. Powell said:Powell said that the “median” FOMC projection from the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), the Fed’s quarterly outlook for the US economy that informs interest rate decisions, projected interest rates at 3.6% at the end of 2025, 3.4% by the end of 2026, and 3.1% at the end of 2027.Read more
