Iris Coleman
Nov 21, 2025 17:19
HBAR price prediction suggests a potential 23% upside to $0.16 by December 2025, with key resistance at $0.20 and critical support at $0.12 based on current technical setup.
HBAR Price Prediction: Technical Setup Points to December Recovery Rally
Hedera (HBAR) is showing signs of potential recovery after testing its 52-week low at $0.13, with technical indicators beginning to stabilize despite recent bearish momentum. This comprehensive HBAR price prediction analysis examines key levels and timeframes for the next major move.
HBAR Price Prediction Summary
• HBAR short-term target (1 week): $0.135-$0.145 (+4% to +12%)
• Hedera medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.14-$0.17 range
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.16 (SMA 20)
• Critical support if bearish: $0.12 (immediate support level)
Recent Hedera Price Predictions from Analysts
Current analyst consensus shows mixed but cautiously optimistic views for HBAR price prediction scenarios. CoinLore’s forecast of $0.1454 by December 1st aligns closely with our technical analysis, representing a modest 12% upside from current levels. Meanwhile, CoinCheckup’s more aggressive Hedera forecast of $0.1698 by December 21st suggests a 34% rally is possible if technical breakouts materialize.
The most bearish prediction comes from CMC AI, warning of a potential retest of October’s $0.10 low due to liquidity concerns. However, this represents only a 23% downside risk, which appears manageable given HBAR’s current oversold conditions. Bitget’s conservative $0.1379 HBAR price target by December reflects the cautious market sentiment surrounding short-term volatility.
HBAR Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Oversold Bounce
The Hedera technical analysis reveals several key indicators pointing toward a potential reversal setup. With RSI at 32.03, HBAR is approaching oversold territory without reaching extreme levels, suggesting selling pressure may be exhausting. The MACD histogram at -0.0031 shows bearish momentum is weakening, though a bullish crossover hasn’t yet occurred.
Most significantly, HBAR’s position at 0.05 within the Bollinger Bands indicates the token is trading very close to the lower band at $0.13. This technical setup often precedes mean reversion moves back toward the middle band at $0.16. The daily ATR of $0.01 suggests relatively controlled volatility, which could support a measured recovery rather than violent price swings.
Volume analysis from Binance shows $53.1 million in 24-hour trading, which remains adequate for institutional positioning despite recent concerns about liquidity. The key will be watching for volume expansion above $70 million to confirm any breakout attempts above the $0.145 resistance level.
Hedera Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for HBAR
The primary bullish HBAR price target focuses on a move back to the SMA 20 at $0.16, representing a 23% upside from current levels. This target aligns with multiple analyst forecasts and represents a logical technical objective. For this scenario to unfold, HBAR needs to first break above immediate resistance at $0.145 with expanding volume.
A more aggressive bullish target would see HBAR challenge the immediate resistance at $0.20 (upper Bollinger Band), which would represent a 54% rally. This scenario would require a broader crypto market rally and positive developments in Hedera’s enterprise adoption narrative.
Bearish Risk for Hedera
The primary downside risk centers on a break below the critical $0.12 support level, which would likely trigger stops and push HBAR toward the strong support at $0.07. This represents a 46% downside risk and would invalidate the current oversold bounce thesis.
A less severe bearish scenario would see HBAR remain range-bound between $0.12-$0.145 for several weeks, essentially consolidating at these lower levels while broader market conditions improve.
Should You Buy HBAR Now? Entry Strategy
Based on current technical levels, the risk-reward profile suggests a cautious buy or sell HBAR stance favors selective buying. The optimal entry strategy would involve scale-in purchases between $0.125-$0.135, with initial stop-loss placement at $0.115 (below the $0.12 support).
For risk management, position sizing should remain conservative given the current market uncertainty. A 2-3% portfolio allocation maximum would be prudent, with the ability to add on confirmed breaks above $0.145 with volume confirmation.
The entry strategy should also consider timing, as waiting for RSI to dip closer to 30 or below could provide better risk-adjusted entries for this HBAR price prediction scenario.
HBAR Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive analysis suggests a medium confidence prediction that HBAR will trade between $0.14-$0.17 over the next 30 days, with the most likely Hedera forecast pointing toward the $0.16 level by mid-December. This represents a reasonable 23% upside target with manageable downside risk to $0.12.
Key indicators to watch for confirmation include RSI breaking above 35, MACD histogram turning positive, and trading volume exceeding $70 million on any breakout attempts. For invalidation, a decisive break below $0.115 would suggest deeper correction toward $0.07 support.
The timeline for this HBAR price prediction to materialize is 2-4 weeks, coinciding with typical oversold bounce patterns and year-end positioning flows. Traders should remain flexible as crypto market conditions can shift rapidly, but the current technical setup suggests limited downside with moderate upside potential for patient investors.
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Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20251121-price-prediction-target-hbar-016-by-december-2025-as-technical
