Realistic Monad crypto price prediction after listing

Monad may turn out to be one of 2025’s breakout Layer-1 blockchains — and with the mainnet and token going live today, the market’s attention is sharply focused on its first trading hours.

This Monad crypto price prediction is designed to be digestible — exploring the most recent estimates, key influencers, and possible scenarios for MON after launch.

What is driving the Monad crypto outlook

Monad is a high-performance, Ethereum-compatible Layer‑1  blockchain, capable of up to 10,000 TPS,  near-zero gas fees, and almost instant transaction finality. Its parallel execution design boosts throughput without compromising Ethereum smart contract compatibility.

MON has a capped supply of 100 billion tokens. Ahead of the mainnet on November 24, 2025, 10.8 billion MON (10.8%) will be unlocked through public sale and airdrops. Distribution is 38.5% for ecosystem development (also scheduled to begin unlocking through the mainnet event), 27% to the team, 19.7% to investors, 7.5% to public sale, 4% to the treasury, and 3.3% to community projects.

Crucially, locked tokens won’t be able to stake at launch, ensuring that early rewards aren’t dominated by insiders.

Key catalysts that could influence MON price

With the mainnet and token launch happening today, several factors are set to drive the first wave of price action.

Mainnet launch (today)

So, Monad’s mainnet goes live on Nov  24.

A smooth launch could boost demand from:

• developers deploying dApps 
• users bridging assets 
• validators / LST protocols starting to build on MON

A problematic launch, on the other hand, could apply immediate downward price pressure.

Public sale on Coinbase (Nov 17–22)

The Coinbase Token Sale completed with:

• Implied FDV ≈ $2.5B 
• Purchase limits: $100-$100,000
• Allocation model: “fill from bottom”, favoring smaller buyers
• Available in 80+ countries

The sale ultimately raised $269M, surpassing the initial $187M target — a sign of early, above-expected demand

Airdrop distribution

Today, 3.3% of the supply is distributed to ~225,000  users.

Risk: Many airdrop recipients may sell immediately → short-term sell pressure.

Positive: A broad holder base can help decentralization and early network effects.

Monad crypto price prediction

MON is currently trading in pre-market ranges, with CryptoRank reporting a price of around $0.0296.

According to Coindataflow’s conservative model, MON might trade around $0.0074 to $0.0126 in 2025, based strictly on statistical trends.

Phemex considers three possible outcomes, factoring in launch-related catalysts. A negative result could see $0.020-$0.030 if early airdrop selling, thin liquidity, or slow adoption impact the token. A moderate scenario projects $0.035-$0.050, assuming a smooth mainnet rollout, gradual dApp expansion, and solid interest from Coinbase users. The optimistic case could push MON above $0.060 with flawless execution, rapid adoption, staking demand, and listings on major exchanges.

Monad combines fast tech,  equitable staking, and broad token distribution, giving it solid fundamentals. Still, MON’s early price will be shaped by market mood, trading volume, and the pace at which people start using the platform.