Key Takeaways: Bitcoin is now in a zone where active investors are near breakeven. 10x Research expects the current rebound […] The post Bitcoin Is Running on Fumes – 10x Research Says the Real Dip Is Still Ahead appeared first on Coindoo.Key Takeaways: Bitcoin is now in a zone where active investors are near breakeven. 10x Research expects the current rebound […] The post Bitcoin Is Running on Fumes – 10x Research Says the Real Dip Is Still Ahead appeared first on Coindoo.

Bitcoin Is Running on Fumes – 10x Research Says the Real Dip Is Still Ahead

2025/11/26 01:14

Key Takeaways:

  • Bitcoin is now in a zone where active investors are near breakeven.
  • 10x Research expects the current rebound to fade quickly.
  • The firm exited longs near $111,545 and plans to re-enter lower.

That is the message from a new 10x Research breakdown, which suggests that the current price range leaves the average active investor sitting nearly at breakeven — historically the moment when disciplined trading begins to erode and volatility accelerates.

Instead of focusing on price targets or emotional forecasts, the report maps out where real money has been deployed on-chain. According to researchers, a crucial metric that tracks the financial exposure of recently active Bitcoin holders has just turned down after months of support. And while the move may trigger a short-term bounce, previous cycles imply the rally is likely to run out of steam before new highs can form.

Why This Phase Matters Now

10x Research points to what it calls the True Market Mean Price, an indicator built around the cost basis of coins that have actually changed hands rather than those sitting untouched in long-term storage. Because it concentrates on wallets that have been actively buying or selling, the metric reveals the real profit-and-loss line for the current generation of traders rather than for historical holders.

The recent shift in this metric signals that active investors have lost most of their profit cushion. When that has happened in the past, late buyers tended to double down on positions just as risk was rising, while smarter capital stepped aside and waited for the next accumulation window.

READ MORE:

Pi Coin Outlook: Whale Accumulation Hints at a Potential Breakout

Strategic Levels Highlighted in the Report

10x says it previously advised clients to cut significant long exposure near $111,545, securing roughly $23,000 in profit per BTC before the margin of safety disappeared. With Bitcoin now trading below the zone where active investors remain comfortably profitable, the firm identifies two major turning points:

  • A short-lived rebound is likely before upside momentum fades
  • The next attractive accumulation range sits meaningfully lower

The report emphasizes that this pullback — if it develops — should not be interpreted as the end of the bull cycle. Instead, it may provide long-term traders an opportunity to redeploy profits captured earlier at significantly better prices.

What Comes Next

10x Research stresses that the goal now is not to chase a sudden rally but to monitor where the rebound stalls, as that tends to reveal the path toward the next accumulation zone. The firm describes its current stance as “active positioning around a mini-rebound,” while preparing to scale back in only once Bitcoin reenters strategic value territory.

The takeaway: Bitcoin’s uptrend is not dead, but the profitable part of the rally for active investors has ended for now — and the smart money is watching the next dip more carefully than the next pump.


The information provided in this article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Coindoo.com does not endorse or recommend any specific investment strategy or cryptocurrency. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

The post Bitcoin Is Running on Fumes – 10x Research Says the Real Dip Is Still Ahead appeared first on Coindoo.

Market Opportunity
RealLink Logo
RealLink Price(REAL)
$0.07622
$0.07622$0.07622
-3.65%
USD
RealLink (REAL) Live Price Chart
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

BitcoinWorld Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% The financial world is buzzing with a significant development: the probability of a Fed rate cut in October has just seen a dramatic increase. This isn’t just a minor shift; it’s a monumental change that could ripple through global markets, including the dynamic cryptocurrency space. For anyone tracking economic indicators and their impact on investments, this update from the U.S. interest rate futures market is absolutely crucial. What Just Happened? Unpacking the FOMC Statement’s Impact Following the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement, market sentiment has decisively shifted. Before the announcement, the U.S. interest rate futures market had priced in a 71.6% chance of an October rate cut. However, after the statement, this figure surged to an astounding 94%. This jump indicates that traders and analysts are now overwhelmingly confident that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next month. Such a high probability suggests a strong consensus emerging from the Fed’s latest communications and economic outlook. A Fed rate cut typically means cheaper borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which can stimulate economic activity. But what does this really signify for investors, especially those in the digital asset realm? Why is a Fed Rate Cut So Significant for Markets? When the Federal Reserve adjusts interest rates, it sends powerful signals across the entire financial ecosystem. A rate cut generally implies a more accommodative monetary policy, often enacted to boost economic growth or combat deflationary pressures. Impact on Traditional Markets: Stocks: Lower interest rates can make borrowing cheaper for companies, potentially boosting earnings and making stocks more attractive compared to bonds. Bonds: Existing bonds with higher yields might become more valuable, but new bonds will likely offer lower returns. Dollar Strength: A rate cut can weaken the U.S. dollar, making exports cheaper and potentially benefiting multinational corporations. Potential for Cryptocurrency Markets: The cryptocurrency market, while often seen as uncorrelated, can still react significantly to macro-economic shifts. A Fed rate cut could be interpreted as: Increased Risk Appetite: With traditional investments offering lower returns, investors might seek higher-yielding or more volatile assets like cryptocurrencies. Inflation Hedge Narrative: If rate cuts are perceived as a precursor to inflation, assets like Bitcoin, often dubbed “digital gold,” could gain traction as an inflation hedge. Liquidity Influx: A more accommodative monetary environment generally means more liquidity in the financial system, some of which could flow into digital assets. Looking Ahead: What Could This Mean for Your Portfolio? While the 94% probability for a Fed rate cut in October is compelling, it’s essential to consider the nuances. Market probabilities can shift, and the Fed’s ultimate decision will depend on incoming economic data. Actionable Insights: Stay Informed: Continue to monitor economic reports, inflation data, and future Fed statements. Diversify: A diversified portfolio can help mitigate risks associated with sudden market shifts. Assess Risk Tolerance: Understand how a potential rate cut might affect your specific investments and adjust your strategy accordingly. This increased likelihood of a Fed rate cut presents both opportunities and challenges. It underscores the interconnectedness of traditional finance and the emerging digital asset space. Investors should remain vigilant and prepared for potential volatility. The financial landscape is always evolving, and the significant surge in the probability of an October Fed rate cut is a clear signal of impending change. From stimulating economic growth to potentially fueling interest in digital assets, the implications are vast. Staying informed and strategically positioned will be key as we approach this crucial decision point. The market is now almost certain of a rate cut, and understanding its potential ripple effects is paramount for every investor. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q1: What is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)? A1: The FOMC is the monetary policymaking body of the Federal Reserve System. It sets the federal funds rate, which influences other interest rates and economic conditions. Q2: How does a Fed rate cut impact the U.S. dollar? A2: A rate cut typically makes the U.S. dollar less attractive to foreign investors seeking higher returns, potentially leading to a weakening of the dollar against other currencies. Q3: Why might a Fed rate cut be good for cryptocurrency? A3: Lower interest rates can reduce the appeal of traditional investments, encouraging investors to seek higher returns in alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. It can also be seen as a sign of increased liquidity or potential inflation, benefiting assets like Bitcoin. Q4: Is a 94% probability a guarantee of a rate cut? A4: While a 94% probability is very high, it is not a guarantee. Market probabilities reflect current sentiment and data, but the Federal Reserve’s final decision will depend on all available economic information leading up to their meeting. Q5: What should investors do in response to this news? A5: Investors should stay informed about economic developments, review their portfolio diversification, and assess their risk tolerance. Consider how potential changes in interest rates might affect different asset classes and adjust strategies as needed. Did you find this analysis helpful? Share this article with your network to keep others informed about the potential impact of the upcoming Fed rate cut and its implications for the financial markets! To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action. This post Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
Share
Coinstats2025/09/18 02:25
Jett Nisay, endorser of Marcos impeach complaint, is a public works contractor

Jett Nisay, endorser of Marcos impeach complaint, is a public works contractor

Nisay is also among the 215 lawmakers who backed Vice President Sara Duterte's impeachment in 2025
Share
Rappler2026/01/19 11:06
Trump's Greenland Acquisition Odds Swell On Crypto Prediction Market In 2026 As Dispute Grows Into Potential US-EU Flashpoint

Trump's Greenland Acquisition Odds Swell On Crypto Prediction Market In 2026 As Dispute Grows Into Potential US-EU Flashpoint

The odds that the U.S. takes control of Greenland have spiked on prediction markets since the year began as President Donald Trump intensifies push to annex the
Share
Coinstats2026/01/19 11:06