Ethereum (ETH) has shown strong resilience as it remains bullish above the $2,800 mark. After experiencing a significant decline below $3,000 on November 22, the cryptocurrency has regained key support levels and is now recovering. Analysts are pointing to various factors, including increased demand from institutional investors and the upcoming end of the Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1, as potential catalysts for further price recovery.
Ethereum’s apparent demand metric, which measures the difference between daily ETH issuance and inactive supply, has reached its highest level since September 2024. The metric’s sharp increase from 37,990 ETH on November 22 to 90,995 ETH on November 26 signals rising interest in Ethereum. Positive apparent demand indicates that investors are accumulating Ether despite the recent price dip.
Historically, Ethereum has shown substantial price recovery when demand increases. For example, in September 2023, when apparent demand surged, the price bounced from around $1,500 to over $4,100 by March 2024. As Ether’s apparent demand continues to rise, it suggests that more investors are looking to purchase ETH, potentially leading to another price surge.
In addition to increasing demand, Ethereum has seen a significant shift in ETF flows. Spot Ethereum ETF inflows have turned positive, with $230.9 million entering the market in just three days. This marks a sharp reversal from the earlier outflows that occurred from November 11 to November 20, when Ethereum ETFs saw a combined loss of $1.28 billion. The recent positive inflows suggest renewed investor confidence and could signal that market sentiment is improving.
The inflows into Ethereum ETFs indicate that institutional investors are actively participating in the market, which may continue to support the price of Ethereum in the short term. As these inflows continue, they may help propel Ethereum toward higher price levels.
The end of the Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1 is expected to play a key role in Ethereum’s price movement. Historically, when the Fed ends QT, liquidity returns to the market, and risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, tend to recover. Analysts note that in previous cycles, altcoins, including Ethereum, have often outperformed Bitcoin after QT ended.
This time, Ethereum could be in a favorable position. With Bitcoin already underperforming and below its key moving averages, Ethereum may benefit from a liquidity rotation. The end of QT could trigger a broader market rally, with Ethereum leading the way.
Ethereum’s price remains supported at the $2,800 mark, where a large concentration of investors purchased ETH. According to Ether’s cost basis distribution data, approximately 4.95 million ETH were acquired at an average price between $2,800 and $2,830. This price zone is now a key support level, as many investors may defend this area against further price declines.
Analysts believe that Ethereum must hold the $2,800 level for the bullish momentum to continue. If the price holds above this zone, Ethereum could rally toward the $3,600 level, where a key resistance area lies. A break above $3,000 would signal that the recovery is in full swing. However, if the price falls below $2,800, a deeper decline to $2,400 or $2,100 could follow.
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