Could XRP Surge? Expert Uses Origin Cycle Theory to Predict What’s Next

• Analyst Cobb presents XRP origin cycle theory predicting potential $17.5 price target
• Theory tracks two 5-wave structures since 2013, currently in fifth wave of second cycle
• XRP reached $3.66 in July 2025, theory suggests Wave 5 could push prices higher ahead

Market analyst Cobb published research outlining what he calls the XRP origin cycle theory, using historical price patterns to forecast future movement. The theory examines two distinct 5-wave structures that have formed since XRP began trading in 2013.

According to Cobb’s analysis, the first structure completed in early 2017 during the bull market. The second structure began immediately after and continues through the current market cycle. Cobb’s chart indicates that XRP is currently in Wave 5 of the second structure, which could drive prices toward $17.5.

First Structure Ran From 2013 Through 2017

The initial 5-wave pattern started when XRP surged 817% from $0.00669 in October 2013 to $0.06144 by December 2013. This marked Wave 1 of the first structure. Wave 2 brought a correction that pushed prices down to $0.00281 in July 2014, establishing the floor.

Wave 3 delivered an 896% rally from the $0.00281 low to $0.0280 by December 2014, though it failed to reclaim the prior peak. Wave 4 created a higher low at $0.00525, followed by Wave 5 that carried XRP to a new all-time high of $0.3988 in May 2017.

The second structure began with Wave 1 pushing prices to $3.31 in January 2018. Wave 2 dropped XRP to $0.1140 by March 2020, forming the base of the second pattern. Wave 3 recovered to $1.96 in April 2021 but remained below the 2018 high. Wave 4 brought another decline to $0.5 in November 2024.

Wave 5 Target Range Set Between $12.5 and $25.5

Cobb stated that XRP entered Wave 5 following President Donald Trump’s election victory. The token has already surpassed the 2018 peak by reaching $3.66 in July 2025. However, the analyst’s chart suggests Wave 5 has not completed its run.

The theory projects XRP could rally to between $12.5 and $25.5, with an average target of $17.5. From the current price of $2.17, this would require a 706% increase. Cobb questioned whether the pattern analysis holds validity given the historical precedent.

Other analysts have projected similar price levels. Market observer EGRAG suggested last November that XRP could reach $17 if market dominance rises to 20% and the total crypto market cap hits $5 trillion, as Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse predicted.