Markets Share Share this article Copy linkX (Twitter)LinkedInFacebookEmail Here's How Much Bitcoin, XRP, Ethe Markets Share Share this article Copy linkX (Twitter)LinkedInFacebookEmail Here's How Much Bitcoin, XRP, Ethe

Here's How Much Bitcoin, XRP, Ether, Solana May Move on Friday's Inflation Report

2025/12/05 12:00
Share
Share this article
Copy linkX (Twitter)LinkedInFacebookEmail

Here's How Much Bitcoin, XRP, Ether, Solana May Move on Friday's Inflation Report

A softer inflation report could lower the 10-year Treasury yield and support cryptocurrencies.

By Omkar Godbole, AI Boost
Dec 5, 2025, 4:00 a.m.
Major tokens await the core PCE release. (TheDigitalArtist/Pixabay)

What to know:

  • The Fed's preferred inflation measure, core PCE, likely increased to 2.9% in September, exceeding the 2% target for the 55th consecutive month.
  • Despite inflation concerns, volatility indices remain stable, with bitcoin's implied volatility index showing no major disruptions.
  • Analysts suggest that a softer inflation report could lower the 10-year Treasury yield and support a rebound in cryptocurrencies.

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, core PCE, likely rose in September—moving in the wrong direction. Yet volatility indices show no signs of major turbulence.

The core PCE likely rose 2.9% year-on-year in September, heading in the wrong direction from the Fed's goal of a 2% annual rate, according to FactSet. If the actual figure matches estimates, it would mark 55 straight months of inflation above the Fed's 2% target. The sticky inflation would strengthen the Fed hawks, who are in favor of slower rate cuts.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW
Don't miss another story.Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today. See all newsletters
Sign me up

Still, as of writing, Volmex's annualized one-day bitcoin implied volatility index , BVIV, hovered in familiar ranges around 36%, according to data source TradingView. That equates to a 24-hour expected price swing of 1.88%, which is nothing out of ordinary.

Low volatility expectations likely stem from anticipated Fed rate cuts next week regardless of PCE data. CME's FedWatch tool prices a 25 basis point cut on Dec. 10 as a done deal.

BTC's price chart. (TradingView)

A softer-than-expected report could send the 10-year Treasury yield below 4%, helping BTC break out its two-day trading range of $92,000-$94,000.

"A softer labor read and contained PCE would reinforce the easing narrative supporting crypto’s rebound, while any upside surprise may keep markets range-bound until the Fed clarifies its path," Iliya Kalchev, Nexo Dispatch analyst, said in an email.

Analysts at ING, however, have warned that any decline in the benchmark yield could be short-lived.

The data could have similar impact on alternative cryptocurrencies.

Speaking of ether, it's one-day implied volatility index was 57.23%, implying a 24-hour price swing of 3%, slightly higher than bitcoin. Meanwhile, SOL's volatility index signals a 3.86% price move, with XRP at 4.3%.

Bitcoin NewsEthereum NewsXRP NewsSolana News
AI Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk's full AI Policy.

More For You

Protocol Research: GoPlus Security

Commissioned byGoPlus

What to know:

  • As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M.
  • GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month.
  • Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B.
View Full Report

More For You

XRP at Risk of $2.05 Retest, Analysts Warn, as Bitcoin Gives Back Weekly Gains

Spot XRP ETFs have now attracted nearly $850 million in inflows since launching in mid-November — one of the strongest altcoin ETF starts on record — suggesting long-horizon capital continues to accumulate exposure.

What to know:

  • Ripple's XRP token broke the critical $2.07 support level amid a surge in trading volume, signaling potential further declines.
  • Despite strong inflows into XRP ETFs, the broader market shows signs of reduced speculative activity and thin liquidity.
  • Technical indicators point to a bearish trend, with XRP needing to reclaim the $2.07–$2.11 range to regain bullish momentum.
Read full story
Latest Crypto News

XRP at Risk of $2.05 Retest, Analysts Warn, as Bitcoin Gives Back Weekly Gains

Asia Morning Briefing: Crypto’s Next Breakout Will Come From Infrastructure, Not Narratives, Hashed Says

Canton Network Creator Snags Strategic Investment from Wall Street Giants

Kraken Partners With Deutsche Börse as Europe Looks to Rival Wall Street in Crypto

Bitcoin Could Continue Chopping Below $95K Into Year-End and Altcoins Could Benefit, Analyst Says

Coinbase, Chainlink Introduce Base-Solana Bridge to Link Ecosystems

Top Stories

Bitcoin Could Continue Chopping Below $95K Into Year-End and Altcoins Could Benefit, Analyst Says

Sovereign Wealth Funds Were Buyers as Bitcoin Plunged: BlackRock's Larry Fink

Coinbase, Chainlink Introduce Base-Solana Bridge to Link Ecosystems

Ex-Signature Bank Execs Launch Blockchain-Powered Narrow Bank Backed by Paradigm, Winklevoss

Kraken Partners With Deutsche Börse as Europe Looks to Rival Wall Street in Crypto

Crypto Investor Donates $12M to UK's Reform Party

Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers near multi-week low ahead of US PCE data

US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers near multi-week low ahead of US PCE data

The post US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers near multi-week low ahead of US PCE data appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from its lowest level since late October and trades with a mild negative bias during the Asian session on Friday. The index is currently placed around the 99.00 mark, down less than 0.10% for the day, as traders now await the crucial US inflation data before placing fresh directional bets. The September US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index will be published later today and will be scrutinized for more cues about the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) future rate-cut path. This, in turn, will play a key role in determining the next leg of a directional move for the Greenback. In the meantime, dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations overshadow Thursday’s upbeat US labor market reports and continue to act as a headwind for the buck. Recent comments from several Fed officials suggested that another interest rate cut in December is all but certain. The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicates an over 85% probability of a move next week. Furthermore, reports suggest that White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett is seen as the frontrunner to become the next Fed Chair and is expected to enact US President Donald Trump’s calls for lower rates, which, in turn, favors the USD bears. Nevertheless, the DXY remains on track to register losses for the second straight week, and the fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for the index remains to the downside. Hence, any attempted recovery is more likely to get sold into and remain limited. US Dollar Price Last 7 Days The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies last 7 days. US Dollar was the strongest against the Swiss…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/12/05 13:43
SSP Stock Surges 11% On FY25 Earnings And European Rail Review

SSP Stock Surges 11% On FY25 Earnings And European Rail Review

The post SSP Stock Surges 11% On FY25 Earnings And European Rail Review appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. SSP Group stock rebounded strongly today. (Photo Illustration by Pavlo Gonchar/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images) SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images Shares in travel food retailer SSP Group rose sharply today after the company posted solid FY25 results, highlighting good growth in two of its four regional divisions, and a decision to review its under‑performing Continental European rail business. The food and beverage (F&B) company’s stock closed 11.3% up in London on the back of a revenue rise of 7.8% (at constant currency) to £3.6 billion ($4.8 billion) in the 12 months to September. Operating profit jumped by 12.7% to £223 million ($298 million). Under statutory IFRS reporting, however, operating profit fell 58% to £86 million, which SSP said in a statement “reflected £183 million of non‑underlying expenses and impairment charges.” The decision to review its rail business in Continental Europe—the biggest of the F&B giant’s four divisions by revenue at £1,205 million ($1,607 million)—was welcomed by the market, given its weak performance of 2% like-for-like (LFL) growth. A carrot was also dangled— a reward to shareholders arising from the July IPO of SSP’s Indian joint venture Travel Food Services (TFS) with K Hospitality, India’s largest privately held F&B company. SSP Group CEO Patrick Coveney said in a statement: “We acknowledge there is more to do to strengthen our operational performance, most notably in Continental Europe, where we have now reset our team, model, and balance sheet, and have a range of initiatives underway. In addition, we are launching a wide-ranging review of our rail business in Continental Europe. We are also considering options to realise value for our shareholders in line with the delivery of the TFS free float requirement.” SSP currently retains a 50.01% stake in TFS and said: “We believe that India’s market potential, combined with TFS’s attractive…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/12/05 13:37
What Advisors Should Know as the Market Matures

What Advisors Should Know as the Market Matures

The post What Advisors Should Know as the Market Matures appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In today’s “Crypto for Advisors” newsletter, Gregory Mall from Lionsoul Global breaks down crypto yield, highlighting its maturity, along with its role in a portfolio. We look at why yield may ultimately become crypto’s most durable bridge to mainstream portfolios. Then, in “Ask an Expert,” Kevin Tam highlights key investments from the recent 13F filings, including the news that combined United Arab Emirates sovereign exposure hit $1.08 billion, making them the fourth-largest global holder. Yield in Digital Assets: What Advisors Should Know as the Market Matures For most of its history, crypto has been defined by directional bets: buy, hold, and hope the next cycle delivers. But a quieter transformation has been unfolding beneath the surface. As the digital asset ecosystem has matured, one of its most important and misunderstood developments has been the emergence of yield: systematic, programmatic, and increasingly institutional. The story begins with infrastructure. Bitcoin introduced self-custody and scarcity; Ethereum extended that foundation with smart contracts, turning blockchains into programmable platforms capable of running financial services. Over the past five years, this architecture has given rise to a parallel, transparent credit and trading ecosystem known as decentralized finance (DeFi). While still niche relative to traditional markets, DeFi has grown from under $1 million of total value locked in 2018 to well over $100 billion at peak (DefiLlama). Even after the 2022 downturn, activity has rebounded sharply. For advisors, this expansion matters because it has unlocked something crypto rarely offered in its early years: cash-flow-based returns, not reliant on speculation. But the complexity behind those yields and the risks beneath the surface require careful navigation. Where Crypto Yield Comes From Yield in digital assets does not come from a single source but from three broad categories of market activity. 1. Trading and liquidity provision Automated market makers (AMMs)…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/12/05 13:14