A pesar de las recientes caídas bruscas en el precio de bitcoin, el banco de Wall Street JPMorgan se mantiene firme en su objetivo de modelo ajustado por volatilidad BTC contra oro, que apunta a un precio teórico cercano a $170,000 en los próximos seis a 12 meses.
La plus grande cryptomonnaie du monde se négociait autour de 91 200 $ au moment de la publication.
La estrategia (MSTR) es un motor clave para bitcoin BTC$88,529.83, con los mercados observando su relación valor empresarial-tenencias de bitcoin (mNAV), ahora alrededor de 1.13, como una lectura clave sobre el riesgo de venta forzada si cae por debajo de 1.0, escribieron los analistas dirigidos por Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou en el informe del miércoles.
Es alentador que el mNAV de la empresa aún se mantenga por encima de 1.0, dijo el informe.
Los analistas señalaron el fondo de reserva de $1.4 mil millones de la empresa como un amortiguador contra la necesidad de vender bitcoin, y señalaron la decisión del índice de MSCI del 15 de enero como un catalizador asimétrico: la exclusión está en gran medida descontada después de la fuerte caída de las acciones desde el 10 de octubre, mientras que un resultado positivo podría impulsar un fuerte repunte.
La empresa fundada por Michael Saylor es el mayor tenedor corporativo de bitcoin, con 650,000 BTC en su balance. La firma ha estado bajo fuego en las últimas semanas después de que el precio de la criptomoneda líder cayera desde un máximo histórico de más de $120,000 a tan solo $82,000.
Entre otras razones, el banco vinculó la reciente caída de bitcoin a la presión renovada sobre la minería en China y un retroceso de los mineros de mayor costo en otros lugares, algunos de los cuales, según se informa, han vendido bitcoin ya que los costos de energía se mantienen altos.
JPMorgan ha reducido su estimación del costo de producción de bitcoin a $90,000 desde $94,000 después de las recientes caídas en la tasa de hash y la dificultad de minería.
The hashrate is the total computing power of the network dedicated to mining and validating transactions in a proof of work blockchain, and is often used as a proxy for mining competition and difficulty.
Un período prolongado por debajo del costo de producción puede volverse auto-reforzante a medida que los mineros marginales se retiran, reduciendo la dificultad y empujando la estimación de costos a la baja, como se vio en 2018, dijeron los analistas.
La reducción de apalancamiento posterior al 10 de octubre en futuros perpetuos parece estar mayormente superada, agregó el informe.
Read more: JPMorgan warns that MSCI's decision could force the strategy out of major stock indices
More For You
Protocol Research: GoPlus Security
What to know:
More For You
MARA Trades at a Premium Factoring in Its Debt, Not a Discount: VanEck’s Sigel
VanEck’s Matthew Sigel argues MARA’s valuation looks expensive when adjusted for its leverage and capital structure.
What to know:

Highlights: US prosecutors requested a 12-year prison sentence for Do Kwon after the Terra collapse. Terraform’s $40 billion downfall caused huge losses and sparked a long downturn in crypto markets. Do Kwon will face sentencing on December 11 and must give up $19 million in earnings. US prosecutors have asked a judge to give Do Kwon, Terraform Labs co-founder, a 12-year prison sentence for his role in the remarkable $40 billion collapse of the Terra and Luna tokens. The request also seeks to finalize taking away Kwon’s criminal earnings. The court filing came in New York’s Southern District on Thursday. This is about four months after Kwon admitted guilt on two charges: wire fraud and conspiracy to defraud. Prosecutors said Kwon caused more losses than Samuel Bankman-Fried, Alexander Mashinsky, and Karl Sebastian Greenwood combined. U.S. prosecutors have asked a New York federal judge to sentence Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon to 12 years in prison, calling his role in the 2022 TerraUSD collapse a “colossal” fraud that triggered broader crypto-market failures, including the downfall of FTX. Sentencing is… — Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) December 5, 2025 Terraform Collapse Shakes Crypto Market Authorities explained that Terraform’s collapse affected the entire crypto market. They said it helped trigger what is now called the ‘Crypto Winter.’ The filing stressed that Kwon’s conduct harmed many investors and the broader crypto world. On Thursday, prosecutors said Kwon must give up just over $19 million. They added that they will not ask for any additional restitution. They said: “The cost and time associated with calculating each investor-victim’s loss, determining whether the victim has already been compensated through the pending bankruptcy, and then paying out a percentage of the victim’s losses, will delay payment and diminish the amount of money ultimately paid to victims.” Authorities will sentence Do Kwon on December 11. They charged him in March 2023 with multiple crimes, including securities fraud, market manipulation, money laundering, and wire fraud. All connections are tied to his role at Terraform. After Terra fell in 2022, authorities lost track of Kwon until they arrested him in Montenegro on unrelated charges and sent him to the U.S. Do Kwon’s Legal Case and Sentencing In April last year, a jury ruled that both Terraform and Kwon committed civil fraud. They found the company and its co-founder misled investors about how the business operated and its finances. Jay Clayton, U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York, submitted the sentencing request in November. TERRA STATEMENT: “We are very disappointed with the verdict, which we do not believe is supported by the evidence. We continue to maintain that the SEC does not have the legal authority to bring this case at all, and we are carefully weighing our options and next steps.” — Zack Guzmán (@zGuz) April 5, 2024 The news of Kwon’s sentencing caused Terraform’s token, LUNA, to jump over 40% in one day, from $0.07 to $0.10. Still, this rise remains small compared to its all-time high of more than $19, which the ecosystem reached before collapsing in May 2022. In a November court filing, Do Kwon’s lawyers asked for a maximum five-year sentence. They argued for a shorter term partly because he could face up to 40 years in prison in South Korea, where prosecutors are also pursuing a case against him. The legal team added that even if Kwon serves time in the U.S., he would not be released freely. He would be moved from prison to an immigration detention center and then sent to Seoul to face pretrial detention for his South Korea charges. eToro Platform Best Crypto Exchange Over 90 top cryptos to trade Regulated by top-tier entities User-friendly trading app 30+ million users 9.9 Visit eToro eToro is a multi-asset investment platform. The value of your investments may go up or down. Your capital is at risk. Don’t invest unless you’re prepared to lose all the money you invest. This is a high-risk investment, and you should not expect to be protected if something goes wrong.

