Coinbase predicts a December recovery driven by rising global M2 liquidity and lower interest rates, but Fed Chair Powell’s remarks may limit upside, analysts say.
Bitcoin's ‘Santa’ rally may be ignited by macroeconomic tailwinds, including the Federal Reserve’s incoming interest rate decision, but fearful investor sentiment may take another hit by any hawkish remarks from central bank officials.
Improving liquidity conditions and rising odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut may catalyze a recovery in the crypto market during December, according to Coinbase Institutional.
“We think crypto could be poised for a December recovery as liquidity improves, Fed cut odds jump to 92% (as of Dec 4), and macro tailwinds build,” wrote Coinbase in a Friday research report.
Read more

Legal experts are concerned that transforming ESMA into the “European SEC” may hinder the licensing of crypto and fintech in the region. The European Commission’s proposal to expand the powers of the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) is raising concerns about the centralization of the bloc’s licensing regime, despite signaling deeper institutional ambitions for its capital markets structure.On Thursday, the Commission published a package proposing to “direct supervisory competences” for key pieces of market infrastructure, including crypto-asset service providers (CASPs), trading venues and central counterparties to ESMA, Cointelegraph reported.Concerningly, the ESMA’s jurisdiction would extend to both the supervision and licensing of all European crypto and financial technology (fintech) firms, potentially leading to slower licensing regimes and hindering startup development, according to Faustine Fleuret, head of public affairs at decentralized lending protocol Morpho.Read more

