Top Vanguard Strategist Sounds Alarm Over Bitcoin’s Long-Term Value

Bitcoin may be easier to trade at Vanguard than ever before, but it still has not earned the firm’s trust.

The world’s second-largest asset manager, which oversees roughly $12 trillion, has quietly enabled trading for select spot Bitcoin ETFs on its platform. Yet behind the scenes, Vanguard’s investment leadership continues to view the cryptocurrency as fundamentally incompatible with the firm’s long-standing philosophy.

That tension between access and belief became clear this week when John Ameriks, Vanguard’s global head of quantitative equity, spoke publicly about how the firm evaluates assets. His message was blunt: Bitcoin does not qualify as an investment in the traditional sense.

A Mismatch With Vanguard’s Investment DNA

Vanguard’s approach has always centered on assets that generate measurable economic output. Stocks produce earnings, bonds generate interest, and over time those cash flows can compound. Bitcoin, Ameriks argued, does none of that.

Rather than viewing BTC as digital gold or a new monetary layer, he framed it as something closer to a speculative object whose value is driven primarily by collective enthusiasm. He compared the phenomenon to trend-driven consumer items that surge in popularity without offering lasting economic substance. In that context, Bitcoin’s price becomes a reflection of demand cycles, not productivity.

From Vanguard’s perspective, that distinction matters. Without income, yield, or a clear compounding mechanism, Bitcoin cannot be evaluated using the same frameworks the firm applies to other asset classes.

Why Clients Can Still Trade Bitcoin ETFs

Despite its skepticism, Vanguard has not blocked access. Earlier this month, the firm allowed trading in a limited number of spot Bitcoin ETFs, a move that opened the door for millions of retail investors to gain exposure through regulated products.

According to Ameriks, this was not a philosophical shift but a practical decision. Vanguard spent months observing how Bitcoin ETFs behaved after their launch, focusing on tracking accuracy, liquidity, and operational performance. Once the firm was satisfied that the products functioned as advertised, it chose to make them available – without endorsement.

Vanguard does not issue recommendations on crypto, does not manage a Bitcoin ETF itself, and does not encourage clients to allocate capital to digital assets. The firm’s role, as it sees it, is to provide access while remaining neutral.

Volatility Reinforces, Not Weakens, Doubts

The timing of Vanguard’s comments coincides with another sharp swing in Bitcoin’s price. After reaching significantly higher levels earlier in the year, BTC has pulled back to around the low-$90,000 range. While such moves have historically been followed by rebounds, Ameriks sees volatility as a feature rather than a phase.

To him, Bitcoin’s relatively short history makes it difficult to build a reliable long-term thesis. The asset has not yet lived through enough economic cycles to establish consistent behavior under stress, growth, inflation, or monetary tightening.

Some analysts disagree. Firms like Bernstein continue to argue that institutional ETF flows could provide a structural bid for Bitcoin over time. Vanguard remains unconvinced.

Blockchain Gets a Pass, Bitcoin Does Not

Where Vanguard does see promise is in the technology beneath the headlines. The firm has expressed interest in blockchain’s potential to modernize market plumbing, improve settlement efficiency, and reduce operational friction across financial systems.

That optimism, however, stops short of Bitcoin itself. Vanguard draws a clear line between blockchain as infrastructure and BTC as an asset. One may reshape finance; the other, in the firm’s view, still lacks a proven economic role.

For now, Vanguard’s stance is settled. Clients can trade Bitcoin ETFs if they choose, but the firm will not treat Bitcoin as a cornerstone investment. Until the asset demonstrates durable value beyond speculation, it remains on the outside of Vanguard’s investment universe – accessible, but unconvinced.

The information provided in this article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Coindoo.com does not endorse or recommend any specific investment strategy or cryptocurrency. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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