Solana Faces Selling Pressure, Potential Recovery Zone Between $100–$115

• Solana trades at $126.45 with $71.20 billion market cap, 24-hour volume $6.16 billion.
• SOL dropped 52% from the November 2024 high of $264; key support $100–$115.
• Technical signals show downward momentum; RSI is near 35–40, and moving averages indicate short-term weakness.

Solana (SOL) is trading at $126.45 today, showing a modest 1.14% increase over the past 24 hours. The network’s market capitalization stands at $71.20 billion, with a 24-hour trading volume of $6.16 billion, representing 2.37% of overall crypto market dominance. Despite small gains, the price remains in a sideways range, reflecting cautious market sentiment.

According to recent analysis, micro support for SOL continues to hold between $118.99 and $123.47. The cryptocurrency has yet to break out upward, following a sharp decline of roughly 52% from its November 2024 all-time high of $264. 

Analysts point to technical patterns, on-chain activity, and broader market conditions to identify potential trade zones, highlighting a likely move toward the $100–$115 accumulation area before a meaningful recovery.

Technical Analysis Signals Further Testing of Support

Solana’s price structure shows a clear descending channel, with lower highs at $264, $220, $180, and $145, accompanied by declining lows. Current levels are testing the $125–$130 zone, a prior resistance from October 2024. 

Volume trends indicate weakening demand during price bounces and higher activity on selloffs, suggesting distribution rather than buying strength. Key resistance levels are $140–$145, $160–$165, and $180–$185, while support is identified at $115–$120, $100–$105, and $85–$90.

Daily moving averages show SOL below the 20, 50, and 200-period lines, with the 20 MA crossing below the 50 MA, confirming short-term downward momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits in the 35–40 range, approaching oversold levels, yet no bullish divergence has emerged. On-chain volume shows a high node around $100–$115, indicating potential accumulation if buying interest returns.

Fundamental and Market Factors Impacting Solana

On-chain statistics indicate both positive and negative indicators. Daily active addresses are no longer at the highest levels of the past, NFT activity is losing momentum, and DeFi TVL is falling. Liquidity supply is already decreasing through staking, and the FTX estate sale increases the pressure on the market.

SOL is burdened by a hawkish Federal Reserve, the increase in BTC dominance, uncertainty in regulation, and dampened speculative activity. However, positive aspects also exist, such as network upgrades, the expansion of developers, the possible approval of ETFs, and the interest of institutions in Solana projects. 

Also Read | Solana (SOL) Price Structure Mirrors Earlier Cycles That Delivered Over 1,100% Gains

Solana Trade Outlook and Key Levels

The short-term cases indicate that the toxin will remain weak near the area of support of between $100 and $115. The relief bounces in the range of $130 to $140 have potential short opportunities with target points of $115, $105, and $95. Long positions can be looked at at levels of $100-$115 in case there is confirmation, such as bullish RSI divergence, large volume, and increasing lows. Close observation and control of BTC price activity is also important.

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