The first trading days of 2026 offered little insight into how the stock of Elon Musk’s electric vehicle (EV) giant, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), might fare in January.
Specifically, after a strong end to 2025 that featured a nearly unbroken rally between late November and late December, TSLA stock first entered a strong correction by January 31, then fell from $449.72 to $438.07 on January 2, only to rally to its latest closing price of $451.67.
Tesla shares’ press time price of $449.83 in the January 6 pre-market only emphasizes the volatility, and the EV giant appears as likely to resume its correction as to re-enter a rally.
TSLA stock YTD price chart. Source: FinboldTechnical indicators hint at Tesla stock price uncertainty
Technical indicators for Tesla stock are not significantly more decisive than its price movements. For example, TSLA shares remain, even following the end-of-2025 correction, above both the 200 and 50-day simple moving averages (SMA).
However, their relative strength index (RSI) reads 48, showing that the stock is neither particularly overbought nor oversold – and, thus, that it could easily fall, rally, or trade sideways.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) slope, on the other hand, indicates that the upward momentum Tesla stock enjoyed between late November and late December is continuing to weaken, hinting that there will not be a powerful rally by January 31.
TSLA stock technicals. Source: FinboldFinbold AI models moderately optimistic about Tesla stock January 31 price
Lastly, Finbold’s artificial intelligence (AI) prediction tool showed some optimism toward TSLA shares, despite the overall uncertainty.
On average, the involved models estimated that Tesla stock will rally 3.21% from its last closing price and reach $465.44 by January 31, based on six different technical indicators.
Simultaneously, the most optimistic model was Claude Sonnet 4, which predicted a 7.66% rally, and the most pessimistic proved to be Gemini 2.5 Flash, given that it considers TSLA stock is unlikely to rally more than 0.95% by January 31.
Tesla stock price AI prediction for January 31, 2026. Source: FinboldUltimately, the lukewarm predictions might indeed prove accurate.
Tesla has, so far, survived with relatively weak headwinds, its announcing that fourth-quarter (Q4) deliveries came in at 418,227, 16% lower than in 2024, meaning the way is open for a rally should there be a particularly bullish announcement pertaining to a project such as the Cybercab.
Featured image via Shutterstock
Source: https://finbold.com/ai-predicts-tesla-stock-price-for-january-31-2026/
