The major change in credit at the moment isn’t reflected in the balance sheets, it’s happening gently within the basic structures. While regulators discuss AI oversight and corporate leaders unveil new breakthroughs, the fundamental change is happening in the everyday practices of credit.
Loan origination is being rewired from the very first click. Risk analysis has gone from human evaluation to algorithmic speed and debt collection has progressed from reactive recovery to proactive prevention. This is not an experimental innovation.
A moderate American bank cut underwriting time from 2 days to simply 4 hours. An Indian NBFC cut down their origination processing from several days to hours. A Canadian mortgage lender approved another 25% of self-employed candidates without experiencing higher defaults.
These are now the early signs of a radical shift in operations that is currently separating the best firms from the pack.
Loan origination used to imply individuals, documents and procrastination. Whenever an application was received, it initiated manual data entry, scanning of documents and background checks. Nowadays, Artificial Intelligence is simply able to squeeze all of that into merely a few seconds.
Scrutinising documents earlier used to take up to 24-48 hours, but it is now done instantaneously. AI reads images, processes organized data, validates the authenticity and notifies abnormalities in real-time. It has been shown that one bank has attained 80% automation on document verification and 30% enhancement in onboarding conversions. The borrowers who used to give up on applications halfway are now able to fill in these applications within less than two minutes.
Just as radically workflow routing has changed. Rather than taking all borrowers through the same checklist, which is rigid, AI is used to direct applications by risk profile, loan size, location and product type. A ₹10,000 personal loan to a salaried working person takes a different automated route as compared to a ₹50,000 business loan to a small retailer. Human audit is carried out only in cases where it is substantially adding value.
Thousands of micro decisions are continuously made during the entire origination. By the time the final approval is issued the data flow is already influenced. One of the telecom lenders recorded a 300% growth in processing capacity without an increase in headcount. These are not superficial efficiencies. They redefine the economics of unit lending.
Lending was once the priesthood of underwriting. The senior credit officers read financial statements, borrower accounts and drew conclusions. This limited scale and magnified inconsistency.
Computational underwriting alters the very foundation of judgment. The traditional models barely considered 50 to 100 factors. Whereas the data being ingested in AI driven underwriting is approximately 10,000 real time data points of transaction behaviour, cash flow trends, sector benchmarks, macroeconomic indicators, and historical default behaviour of millions of borrowers.
Manual underwriting is time-consuming, taking hours or days. AI on the other hand generates complete risk evaluation within a few seconds. More importantly, the accuracy keeps gets better as models are continuously trained on new results. Today, mature models can predict default risk 80% more accurately and the rejection rates do not increase.
Alternative data has become the new key. In addition to the scores on bureau and bank statements, AI assesses the performance of UPI, utility payments, telecommunications patterns, web-based shopping, and digital footprint indications.
An alternative data Canadian lender boosted the number of approvals for self-employed borrowers by 25% without any adverse impact on credit quality. In India, personal loans amounting to ₹2.4 lakh crore have been transacted through large fintech platforms and major part of the role is due to AI led underwriting.
The traditional models never could see this, but the invisible brain does.
Until now, lenders thought they had to pick between precision and clarity, but that trade-off is long gone. RBI and SEBI now label AI in lending as high-risk systems demanding complete explainability. Clarity is mandatory. It’s structural.
Organizations that embedded explainability into their AI architecture gained an unanticipated edge. Decision logic now becomes auditable. Customer disputes are now defensible. Regulatory examinations have become manageable without operational impairment.
Explainable AI frameworks now specify which variables determined a decision. The borrowers don’t get a vague rejection message anymore. The system instead determines the exact elements to adjust, like the minimum acceptable cash flow or irregular income sequences. This leads to fewer conflicts and higher reapplication quality.
Similarly, collections have experienced an equally parallel transformation. Rather than responding to a missed payment, early collections models can now identify stress weeks before delinquency occurs by analysing behavioural drift and income volatility.
Predictive collections clients now see a 60% reduction in first payment defaults, 25% reduction in overall delinquency and 40% reduction in collections costs. Prevention now costs less and is more successful than treatment. The risk backbone has now become forward looking.
Over fifty percent of the personal loans in India are now under ₹50,000 in amount, an area that traditional banking was never meant to reach. The reason is structural. Traditional scoring method only involves 50 to 100 data points, whereas the AI models process close to a thousand and more data points in real time.
An owner of a small stall in Mumbai seeking a ₹5 lakh loan is automatically denied by the traditional banks because of irregular income and non-collateral. The same borrower when read by an AI system is read based on UPI transactions, cash flow day-to-day, rents and utility behaviour.
The seemingly dangerous scenario on paper can be in fact the stable economic workings in statistics. Conventional models did not go bad. They were incomplete. On a large scale, such incompleteness is disastrous. Manual confirmation on top of it extend the processing to weeks. Borrowers drop off. Growth saturates.
These problems just dissolve with AI enabled automation and real time decision making. It is not that of efficiency. It is about national scale market access.
Companies with coordinated AI powered loan origination software are secretly accumulating compounding benefit in five dimensions. Alternative data helps them to reach underserved markets. They work at structural cost advantage. They store data flywheels that are self-reinforcing. And they deal with risk in a proactive manner, rather than a reactive manner.
Each loan that is processed makes the system stronger. Models made with better data perform better. More accurate decisions are made faster through better models. More volume is attracted to faster decisions. The flywheel is continuously compounds.
However, it is hard to put into practice. Most institutions are slowed down by legacy infrastructure, scattered data, lack of talent, and silos within an organization. More than 90% of the financial firms adopt AI in one way or the other, but less than 10% regard themselves as advanced. Majority of the failures are not technological. They are cultural and architectural.
Competitive distance will put pressure on the next five years more than any time in the history of modern lending. Table stakes will be AI based origination, underwriting, and collections. Applications will be fulfilled within few seconds. Decision made within less than one minute. Money will be paid in several hours. Risk will be observed on a regular basis. The collections will be in the form of predictive intervention.
It is no longer a strategic decision to let AI be adopted. It is either to take it operationally in solitary efficiency or operationally as the operating brain in its pure form. The second way has already been taken by Fintech’s and agile NBFC’s. There is still a slit window that traditional institutions need to stick by.
The brain of 21st century lending is already in use. Quietly. Relentlessly. Remaking access, cost and risk. There is just one question now clear: Will your institute shape that future or will you be compelled to respond to it?


