Tracing LIT’s road to recovery after whale’s $1.8M loss and revenue troubles

In a thriving market, high revenue and strong use cases drive investor trust. Unfortunately, LIT’s story is quite the opposite. On 12 January, the project faced some serious setbacks, with a whale’s 1x long position sinking to a $1.8 million floating loss. 

Lighter’s revenue of just $8,450 painted a grim picture, raising doubts about its utility while also scaring off potential investors. Liquidity clustering above the $2.7-level could offer support. However, with the market sentiment trending south, it remains uncertain whether this level will hold or not. 

Whale’s long struggles in a loss

A whale opened a 1x long position in $LIT, valued at $4.27 million. However, the position quickly went deep into the red as the altcoin’s price continued its downtrend. At the time of writing, the whale’s floating loss had exceeded $1.8 million, highlighting the volatility of the market.

This loss is concerning for LIT as the token has struggled to maintain its previous highs.

With no clear rebound in sight, traders have become increasingly cautious, reflecting broader market pessimism. The question now is whether LIT can recover, or if deeper losses are imminent.

Lighter Chain records meager revenue – Is it dead?

Lighter’s revenue on 12 January was just $8,450, far below expectations. This raises concerns about its ability to generate sustainable income. While early-stage projects face challenges, such a low return from a once-high-profile token casts doubts on its future.

Without a shift in growth, Lighter may be overshadowed by more promising projects. The lack of revenue growth in a competitive market puts its long-term relevance at risk.

LIT Open Interest shows signs of recovery

Further tracking of LIT revealed a hike in Futures Open Interest – A sign that there is still market participation in 2026. 

When combined with increasing volume, these factors could mean a potential recovery for LIT. Especially if the price begins to realign positively. 

Worth pointing out, however, that the liquidity heatmap revealed that significant liquidity is building and clustering just above the $2.7-level.

This concentration of liquidity could act as a magnet, pulling LIT north if the price manages to break through this level. Market makers often target these areas, and if enough volume pushes LIT to the upside, we could see a potential recovery. 

However, until the price breaks through $2.7 with strong momentum, the altcoin will remain in a fragile state. And, its long-term recovery will be far from guaranteed.

Final Thoughts

• Whale’s floating loss and Lighter’s stagnant revenue raise concerns about LIT’s sustainability.
  
• Rising Open Interest and clustered liquidity above $2.7 may provide an opportunity for recovery.