The launch of the first Bitcoin ETF in January 2024 has drawn significant institutional interest. However, despite strong demand, Bitcoin’s price has not yet surged as expected. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan believes that this will change in the near future, predicting a parabolic rise in Bitcoin’s value.
Since January 2024, Bitcoin spot ETFs have been buying more than 100% of newly mined Bitcoin. This means that these funds are absorbing all the new supply and more. The total net inflow into Bitcoin ETFs has now reached approximately $56.52 billion as of January 13.
Despite the heavy buying activity, Bitcoin’s price has yet to reflect the increased demand. According to Hougan, long-term holders have been selling into the rising demand, preventing a parabolic price movement. However, he suggests that once these sellers run out of supply, Bitcoin’s price will rise dramatically.
Hougan draws comparisons to gold’s price movements to support his prediction. He cites how gold prices remained stagnant even as central bank purchases increased significantly in 2022 and 2023. Despite the lack of immediate price action, gold saw a massive price surge in 2025, highlighting how sustained institutional demand can eventually drive prices higher.
The delayed reaction in gold’s price was due to the market’s ability to absorb demand over time. Hougan believes Bitcoin will follow a similar pattern. As institutional demand continues to grow, the market will eventually reach a point where the price rises sharply due to exhausted selling.
Bitcoin has experienced similar patterns in recent years, with significant institutional interest not immediately reflecting in the price. The entry of institutional investors into the Bitcoin market has been slower than many expected. However, the market has demonstrated its capacity to absorb this demand, and Hougan is confident that the price will soon follow.
Hougan also mentioned that Bitcoin’s price is still being held back by the willingness of sellers to meet demand. Once this selling pressure subsides, he expects the price of Bitcoin to go parabolic. This pattern, Hougan believes, is inevitable as institutional buyers continue to accumulate Bitcoin at these levels.
Bitcoin’s price has not yet experienced the parabolic rise that some expect. However, the growing institutional participation in Bitcoin’s ecosystem indicates that the future is promising. With Bitcoin ETFs continuing to buy up new Bitcoin and the supply becoming increasingly scarce, Hougan predicts that Bitcoin’s price will eventually see explosive growth.
As Bitcoin continues to gain institutional support, its price trajectory will likely change. The trend of institutional investors holding and accumulating Bitcoin could push the price upward as demand outpaces supply. According to Hougan, Bitcoin is on the verge of a major price movement, driven by sustained institutional interest.
Hougan’s prediction aligns with the broader trend of increasing institutional involvement in the Bitcoin market. He emphasizes that the eventual price surge will be driven by the ongoing ETF purchases and the exhaustion of Bitcoin’s available supply.
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