Bitcoin Price Prediction Ahead of First Federal Reserve Policy Meeting of 2026

Bitcoin Price has remained steady above $95k, following a slight market cooldown after a week of notable surges.  The cryptocurrency market has seen a 1.18% fall in the last 24 hours, which is a partial reversal of its 4.08% weekly increase.

This loss could be linked to profit-taking following recent rallies and the increasing worries regarding regulatory uncertainties, particularly following a U.S crypto bill being brought into the limelight.

Moreover, market participants are monitoring closely the next Federal Reserve policy meeting, to be held in the first half of January (27-28), which can impact future market trends.

Federal Reserve’s First Meeting of 2026: What to Expect?

The first Federal Reserve policy meeting of 2026 is set to take place on January 27 and 28. This crucial event will mark the beginning of the Federal Reserve’s eight regularly scheduled meetings this year. 

This session will be highly observed by investors, economists, and market watchers to get insights on the U.S economic future.

During this meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will discuss the latest economic developments, such as inflation and employment statistics.

They will deliberate on the monetary policy of the U.S. and make a decision on whether to lower the federal funds rate or not, which is in the range of 3.50 and 3.75 at present. This is the lowest rate since the beginning of 2023, following three rate reductions in December 2025.

On January 28, the Fed will give its decision, which will be normally accompanied with the Fed Chair press conference. The result of this gathering will probably affect the financial markets, including cryptocurrencies such as the Bitcoin price. 

Investors will be eager to know whether the Fed will halt or further lower rates in 2026, which may affect different types of assets greatly.

Bitcoin ETFs Mark Fourth Consecutive Day of Positive Inflows

On January 15, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $100 million (ET) and that was the fourth consecutive day of net inflows.

Nevertheless, there were more drops in the overall market after some rises in key assets. This reduction in inflows of ETFs is an indication of the possible change in market momentum with the decline of interest among investors. The trend indicates a temporary pause in the bullish activity.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Key Levels To Watch

The latest BTC price has shown a slight dip today, standing at $95,674 at the time of writing.  This price follows a recent different upward trend that took the price nearer to the level of $97,500 resistance.

The market trend at the moment is that Bitcoin is facing some resistance at the point of $100,000, and this might cause any short-term fluctuation.

The RSI is 57, which indicates that Bitcoin is not overbought and oversold yet. In the meantime, there is also a positive divergence in the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

The MACD line stands at 1,155, indicating the possibility of upward trending in the short run. Nonetheless, the red bars illustrating the MACD histogram are a cause of concern, and it suggests mild bearish pressure.

Resistance levels for Bitcoin price are set at $97,500, and a breakthrough could target the $100,000 mark as the future Bitcoin outlook remains bullish. 

On the other side, the next target may be found at support of $92,000 and $95,000, which will be considered as the next target in case there is a downward move.

To sum it up, the price of Bitcoin is resilient above $95k amidst the recent drops in the market. The next Federal Reserve meeting is likely to have a great influence on the future prices.