TON Price Prediction: Targets $2.40 Break Above $1.87 Resistance

Terrill Dicki
Jan 16, 2026 08:16

Toncoin trades at $1.72 with neutral RSI at 50.06. Analysts eye $2.40 targets while technical indicators show consolidation around key support levels with critical resistance at $1.87.

TON Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $1.87 (immediate resistance break)
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.20-$2.40 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.87
• Critical support: $1.59

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

Recent analyst predictions from January show consistent bullish sentiment for Toncoin. Caroline Bishop noted on January 14, 2026, that “Toncoin shows bullish momentum with technical indicators pointing to $2.40 targets. Current support at $1.73 provides entry opportunities for the next leg up,” with a specific target of $2.40.

Lawrence Jengar observed on January 10 that “TON shows mixed signals as analysts eye $2.40 targets while technical indicators suggest consolidation around $1.76 support levels,” maintaining the same $2.40 target. Timothy Morano’s January 11 analysis stated that “Toncoin consolidates around $1.76 as analysts maintain $2.40 targets by January 12, while technical indicators show neutral RSI at 54.99 and key resistance at $1.82.”

The consistent $2.40 target across multiple analysts suggests strong conviction in Toncoin’s medium-term upside potential.

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown

Toncoin currently trades at $1.72, down 3.26% in the past 24 hours, with trading confined to a $1.67-$1.81 range. The technical picture presents a neutral to slightly bearish short-term outlook.

The RSI at 50.06 sits perfectly in neutral territory, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This suggests TON price prediction models should account for potential movement in either direction from current levels.

MACD indicators show concerning signals with the histogram at 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum. The MACD line at 0.0288 matches the signal line exactly, suggesting a potential trend reversal or continued consolidation.

Bollinger Bands reveal TON trading in the lower portion of its recent range. With the upper band at $1.94 and lower band at $1.57, Toncoin’s current position at 0.39 on the %B indicator shows room for upward movement within the established volatility range.

Moving averages present a mixed picture for this Toncoin forecast. While the 50-day SMA at $1.64 provides support below current levels, the 200-day SMA at $2.48 indicates significant distance from longer-term trend confirmation.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

The primary upside target aligns with analyst predictions around $2.40. For bulls to regain control, TON must first break the immediate resistance at $1.79, followed by the strong resistance level at $1.87.

A sustained break above $1.87 would likely trigger momentum buying toward the Bollinger Band upper limit at $1.94. From there, the path toward the analyst consensus target of $2.40 becomes viable, representing a 39% upside from current levels.

Technical confirmation would require RSI breaking above 60 and MACD histogram turning positive. Volume expansion above the current 24-hour average of $14.9 million would provide additional validation.

Bearish Scenario

Downside risks center around the immediate support at $1.66 and strong support at $1.59. A break below $1.59 would align TON with the Bollinger Band lower boundary at $1.57, potentially triggering further selling.

The 200-day SMA significantly above current price levels at $2.48 suggests the longer-term trend remains challenged. Failure to hold the $1.59 support could lead to a test of the 50-day SMA support at $1.64, though this level currently sits below the market.

Bear case scenarios would see TON testing psychological support levels around $1.50, representing a 13% downside from current levels.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy

For this TON price prediction, optimal entry points depend on risk tolerance and time horizon. Conservative buyers should wait for a clear break above $1.87 resistance with volume confirmation before establishing positions.

Aggressive traders might consider scaling into positions around current levels near $1.72, using the strong support at $1.59 as a stop-loss level. This provides a risk-reward ratio favoring the upside given analyst targets around $2.40.

A suggested entry strategy involves:
– 50% allocation on break above $1.79
– 30% allocation on sustained hold above $1.87
– 20% allocation on RSI confirmation above 60

Stop-loss placement below $1.59 limits downside risk to approximately 7.5% while maintaining upside potential toward analyst targets.

Conclusion

This Toncoin forecast suggests cautious optimism with clear technical levels defining the near-term path. While current momentum indicators show neutral to bearish signals, the consistency of analyst predictions around $2.40 targets provides fundamental support for medium-term bullishness.

The key catalyst for this TON price prediction centers on breaking the $1.87 resistance level. Success here would likely validate the bullish analyst consensus and open the path toward the $2.20-$2.40 target range within the coming month.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk and uncertainty. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

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