Bitcoin hits 2-month low: Can Trump’s rate-cut push lift BTC?

In recent cycles, “liquidity” has emerged as a key driver not only of asset prices but also of investor sentiment. In this context, U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to pick a new Fed Chair is a guaranteed market catalyst.

Or at least according to President Trump himself, it’s a clear market catalyst. He’s been pushing for more rate cuts, insisting they’d come “without any pressure,” directly feeding the broader liquidity narrative.

But the question is: Is that enough to reverse Bitcoin’s [BTC] recent FUD?

 Trump’s Fed pick faces the reality check

From an economic standpoint, there’s more to rate cuts than just liquidity.

At a fundamental level, they signal a slowing economy, driven by cooling consumer spending, rising unemployment, and weaker-than-expected macro data, forcing the Federal Reserve to ease policy to support growth.

Historically, Bitcoin has tended to rally during such easing cycles. In this context, BTC slipping back to a two-month low near $80k fits squarely into the narrative of President Trump’s push for more rate cuts.

However, the hard data continues to challenge this narrative. 

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ December Producer Price Index (PPI) came in at 3%, above the expected 2.7%, signaling that inflationary pressures remain elevated, leaving the path for easing uncertain.

Naturally, the question arises: Is President Trump’s Fed Chair pick truly a catalyst for Bitcoin, or does it risk eroding already fragile confidence in his “crypto capital” vision as market skepticism continues to build?

Bitcoin struggles as volatility overrides the narrative

Volatility remains the dominant force in the crypto market.

Notably, that dynamic has been especially visible over the past fifteen months of President Trump’s presidency. While regulatory signals have helped legitimize Bitcoin among investors, they’ve done little to dampen volatility.

Rand’s chart puts this into perspective. Roughly two years into Trump’s presidency, most major high-cap crypto assets saw double-digit pullbacks, with Aptos [APT] suffering the steepest decline, down 82.3%.

From here, it looks like the market isn’t buying into the “crypto capital” narrative. For Bitcoin, that shows up on-chain, with cohorts capitulating and moving BTC to exchanges, despite ongoing hopes for rate cuts.

Hence, the gap between theory and reality is only widening.

On paper, regulatory frameworks are reinforcing Bitcoin’s “hedge” status. However, in practice, macro volatility continues to shake the market, weakening confidence and blunting the impact of rate cuts on Bitcoin.

Final Thoughts

• While President Trump promotes his new Fed Chair as a catalyst for Bitcoin, elevated inflation and weak macro data cast doubt on whether rate cuts can reverse recent BTC FUD.
• Despite regulatory progress, on-chain metrics show macro volatility continues to dominate, highlighting the widening gap between theory and market behavior.