Moscow Exchange targets $15B revenue from crypto crackdown

Russian policymakers are racing to reshape financial flows as the Moscow Exchange emerges as a key winner from a sweeping crypto crackdown plan.

Russia targets surging daily crypto volumes

Russian authorities are alarmed by the rapid rise in cryptocurrency use, with officials citing daily turnover of about 50 billion rubles across digital assets. As Bitcoin activity grows on global platforms, regulators argue that the time has come for strict and comprehensive rules.

Moreover, policymakers say the current momentum makes it vital for domestic platforms to enter the market under clear supervision. They see the trend as both a risk to capital controls and a potential new revenue source for licensed financial infrastructure.

The Bank of Russia has advanced a draft framework that would allow cryptocurrency operations through existing exchanges and brokers. It proposes structured access for both qualified and non-qualified investors, with specific limits for different user groups to reduce systemic risk.

However, the project also sets new responsibilities for intermediaries that currently operate without authorization, signaling a tougher stance on informal market participants. These entities would either have to seek formal status or leave the Russian crypto landscape.

Legislative roadmap and transition period

Officials expect the State Duma to review the bill during the spring session, with a target for approval by mid-year. The roadmap includes a transition period designed to let platforms assemble licensing and compliance packages before full enforcement.

As a result, infrastructure organizations are already preparing for significant adjustments to their operational models. They anticipate the need for new risk controls, reporting systems, and client verification procedures as the regulatory perimeter expands.

Stablecoin rules and the wider regulatory strategy

Russian agencies classify Bitcoin and fiat-linked stablecoins as “currency assets” that must be processed through controlled systems. This designation aims to plug crypto flows into the existing financial architecture so that transactions pass through domestic oversight rather than opaque offshore routes.

Furthermore, the move is designed to prevent capital flight via unregulated channels and to support macroeconomic stability. By routing stablecoin activity through supervised institutions, regulators hope to limit arbitrage between traditional payment rails and digital alternatives.

Analytics firm Chainalysis reports that Russia now ranks as Europe’s largest crypto market, an outcome shaped by sanctions that squeezed conventional cross-border payments. This shift has pushed many users toward cryptocurrency solutions for transfers and savings.

Consequently, officials insist that structured supervision and clear rules are essential to avoid uncontrolled growth. They argue that regulation must catch up with user behavior before digital assets pose broader risks to the financial system.

On-chain tracking and pressure on offshore platforms

Russia’s financial watchdog Rosfinmonitoring uses its Transparent Blockchain service to monitor inflows and outflows on major networks. The agency estimates that Russian users hold nearly one trillion rubles on foreign exchanges, most of which operate outside domestic legal frameworks.

These offshore platforms remain unregulated in Russia, exposing users to legal uncertainty and heightened counterparty risk. Therefore, policymakers want licensed bodies to replace the gray market structure that has developed over recent years.

In this context, the emerging framework for licensed crypto exchanges is designed to shift activity from global venues back to Russian infrastructure. That said, regulators still face the challenge of making local platforms competitive enough to attract returning capital.

Moscow Exchange positions for $15B revenue recovery

The Moscow Exchange is positioning itself at the center of this transition, targeting up to $15 billion in annual fees that Russian users currently pay to foreign crypto platforms. It views the upcoming rules as an opening to expand beyond traditional securities and derivatives.

Moreover, exchange executives argue that regulated services could redirect substantial trading volumes back into the national market. They expect that clearer rules, combined with the reputation of established financial institutions, will help capture users who are wary of offshore risk.

Officials estimate that global exchanges collectively earn about $50 billion a year from cryptocurrency trading commissions, with Russian clients representing nearly one third of that total. This share underscores how much crypto activity now bypasses national supervision and tax structures.

In the eyes of domestic platforms, that revenue represents a major untapped opportunity. The emerging russian crypto regulation framework, they say, could channel these flows into regulated products and bolster local financial stability.

Market readiness and long-term outlook

Following the Bank of Russia’s release of its regulatory outline, major trading venues quickly signaled their readiness to launch crypto operations. They are preparing technological integrations, custody arrangements, and compliance systems to meet the new standards.

Market participants expect a gradual rollout, with demand likely to increase once the rules are fully defined and implemented. However, they also acknowledge that user education and trust-building will be crucial in shifting activity away from long-standing global exchanges.

Looking ahead, industry leaders see the new framework as a foundation for long-term market expansion rather than a short-lived trend. If successfully implemented, the moscow exchange crypto plan could turn today’s offshore flows into a structured domestic crypto market anchored in Russia’s financial system.

In summary, Russia’s crypto overhaul aims to tighten control, recover billions in lost fees, and elevate the Moscow Exchange as a central hub in the country’s digital asset future.