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Is Gold Betting Against America’s Comeback?

The Bitcoin vs. gold debate has heated up over the past few months as investors reassess inflation risks and the future direction of monetary policy. 

Yet according to one market strategist, the divide now extends beyond portfolio hedging. In his view, it reflects something far larger: a wager on the trajectory of the American economy itself.

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Bitcoin vs Gold: Two Assets, Two Visions of America’s Path 

In a recent post, James E. Thorne, Chief Market Strategist at Wellington-Altus, framed the two assets as opposing bets on the trajectory of the US economy. 

The strategist explained that gold, in his view, has become what he described as a “verdict.” Rather than simply protecting against inflation or volatility, he argued that rising demand for gold reflects a growing lack of confidence in “Trump’s economic revolution” and the ability of policymakers to reform an economy burdened by excessive debt.

According to Thorne, investors piling into gold are effectively betting that the US will continue down a path of monetary expansion, debt accumulation, and currency debasement. 

By contrast, Thorne positioned Bitcoin as a “speculative flag of success.” He suggested that it is a digital bet that regulatory clarity for the crypto sector, including measures such as the proposed CLARITY Act, alongside broader policy shifts, would position the US as a global crypto hub.

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In this “split-screen” vision of the future, gold signals doubt that America can grow its way out of mounting fiscal pressures, while Bitcoin reflects confidence that reform-driven growth can reduce the real burden of debt.

Bitcoin’s Safe-Haven Narrative Faces Scrutiny

The remarks come at a time when gold has surged amid macroeconomic uncertainty despite volatility. On the other hand, Bitcoin has experienced notable drawdowns, reigniting debate over its store-of-value narrative.

Trader Ran Neuner recently raised concerns over Bitcoin’s response amid periods of genuine market stress and uncertainty.

Neuner argued that episodes marked by tariff disputes, currency tensions, and fiscal instability presented a real-world test for Bitcoin’s safe-haven narrative. During those periods, however, investor flows appeared to favor gold over digital assets.

With exchange-traded funds approved and institutional channels widely available, access to Bitcoin is no longer a structural constraint. This removes a longstanding explanation for muted performance during stress events.

He also pointed to subdued retail engagement and weaker speculative momentum compared to prior cycles. While this does not imply a structural breakdown for Bitcoin, he suggested it raises questions about whether its investment thesis remains as clear-cut as it once appeared.

Source: https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-vs-gold-trump-america-economy-debate/

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