The post Matt Hogan: Institutional adoption is ending the four-year cycle, Bitcoin halving is losing significance, and covered call strategies are reshaping investmentThe post Matt Hogan: Institutional adoption is ending the four-year cycle, Bitcoin halving is losing significance, and covered call strategies are reshaping investment

Matt Hogan: Institutional adoption is ending the four-year cycle, Bitcoin halving is losing significance, and covered call strategies are reshaping investment



The traditional four-year cycle in crypto is becoming obsolete due to the influence of institutional adoption. Institutional investments in crypto have reached a staggering $15 trillion, indicating a major shift in market dynamics. The fear and greed index suggests a stable market outlook despite…

Key takeaways

  • The traditional four-year cycle in crypto is becoming obsolete due to the influence of institutional adoption.
  • Institutional investments in crypto have reached a staggering $15 trillion, indicating a major shift in market dynamics.
  • The fear and greed index suggests a stable market outlook despite current flat conditions.
  • Liquidity in the crypto market decreases on weekends, adding to market fragility.
  • Covered call strategies are a popular method for Bitcoin holders to generate income without selling their assets.
  • The Bitcoin halving event is losing its significance in influencing market cycles.
  • Interest rates have a notable impact on crypto market performance, with rising rates typically leading to poor performance.
  • Institutional adoption is significantly increasing, reshaping the crypto landscape.
  • Regulatory changes are shifting from being obstacles to becoming supportive forces for the crypto market.
  • MicroStrategy is not in a position where it will be forced to sell its Bitcoin holdings.
  • Institutional investors are expected to fill the purchasing gap left by MicroStrategy.
  • Large financial institutions could dramatically increase Bitcoin ETF inflows, potentially doubling the current pace.

Guest intro

The guest featured on Empire is a notable figure in the crypto industry, providing insights into the evolving landscape. With a deep understanding of market dynamics, the guest discusses the impact of institutional adoption, regulatory changes, and investment strategies on the crypto market. Their perspective is valuable for understanding the future trajectory of digital assets and the role of financial institutions in this space. The episode covers a range of topics, including market cycles, investment strategies, and the influence of regulatory developments.

The end of the four-year cycle in crypto

  • — Matt Hogan

  • Institutional investments have reached approximately $15 trillion, reshaping the market landscape.
  • — GuestName

  • The forces that caused the four-year cycle are now very weak, suggesting a shift in market dynamics.
  • — GuestName

  • The four-year cycle has been a primary driver of volatility in the current year.
  • — GuestName

  • Institutional adoption narrative is overwhelming traditional cycles, with major banks greenlighting crypto exposure.
  • — GuestName

Weekend liquidity challenges in crypto

  • Liquidity in the crypto market decreases on weekends, making it more fragile.
  • — GuestName

  • Understanding trading hours and liquidity is crucial for managing market volatility.
  • The decrease in liquidity contributes to increased market fragility on weekends.
  • This phenomenon highlights the importance of liquidity management in crypto trading.
  • Weekend trading dynamics can lead to unexpected price movements due to low liquidity.
  • Traders should be aware of these patterns to better navigate weekend market conditions.
  • Liquidity challenges on weekends underscore the need for strategic trading approaches.

Covered call strategies for Bitcoin holders

  • Covered call strategies allow Bitcoin holders to generate income without selling their assets.
  • — GuestName

  • More than 50% of perceived Bitcoin selling is happening through covered call strategies.
  • — GuestName

  • This strategy is becoming a fast-growing business in the cryptocurrency space.
  • — GuestName

  • Covered calls offer a way to manage Bitcoin investments while generating income.
  • The strategy reflects a shift in investment approaches among Bitcoin holders.
  • Understanding options trading is key to leveraging covered call strategies effectively.

The diminishing role of Bitcoin halving

  • The Bitcoin halving is becoming less significant in influencing market cycles.
  • — GuestName

  • Historical patterns suggest a reduced impact of halving events on price dynamics.
  • This change reflects evolving market conditions and increased institutional influence.
  • The diminishing role of halving highlights the need for new market analysis frameworks.
  • Investors should adjust their strategies to account for this shift in market dynamics.
  • The reduced significance of halving events may lead to more stable market conditions.
  • Understanding the changing impact of halving is crucial for future investment decisions.

MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin strategy

  • MicroStrategy is not in a position where it will be forced to sell its Bitcoin.
  • — Matt

  • MicroStrategy’s debt is manageable, with no immediate need to sell Bitcoin.
  • — Matt

  • The market misunderstands MicroStrategy’s role as both a buyer and seller of Bitcoin.
  • — Matt

  • Institutional investors are likely to fill the purchasing gap left by MicroStrategy.
  • — Matt

Institutional adoption and its impact

  • Institutional adoption of crypto is significantly increasing, reshaping the market.
  • — GuestName

  • Large financial institutions could significantly increase Bitcoin ETF inflows.
  • — GuestName

  • Regulatory changes are shifting from severe headwinds to strong tailwinds for the crypto market.
  • — GuestName

  • Institutional investors are expected to fill the purchasing gap left by MicroStrategy.
  • — Matt

The evolving regulatory landscape

  • Regulatory changes are shifting from severe headwinds to strong tailwinds for the crypto market.
  • — GuestName

  • Regulations now allow tokens to have economic value linked to underlying protocols.
  • — GuestName

  • The regulatory challenges surrounding privacy tokens like Zcash hinder institutional adoption.
  • — GuestName

  • Regulation will enable more direct economic ties between tokens and their underlying activities.
  • — GuestName

The future of ICOs and tokenization

  • ICOs will return and be significantly larger than in 2017.
  • — GuestName

  • The new ICO process is more democratic and efficient compared to traditional IPOs.
  • — GuestName

  • Regulations now allow tokens to have economic value linked to underlying protocols.
  • — GuestName

  • The market is likely to be disappointed with stablecoins and tokenization in 2026.
  • — Matt

The role of financial advisors in crypto

  • Client retention is more important than growth for financial advisors in crypto.
  • — Guest

  • The reduction in Bitcoin’s volatility is crucial for financial advisors to manage client relationships.
  • — Guest

  • Financial advisors are slow to adopt Bitcoin due to the need for extensive client education and risk aversion.
  • — GuestName

  • Financial advisors are not as focused on detailed portfolio construction as commonly believed.
  • — Guest

The future of crypto narratives

  • In the next two years, the narrative of crypto will expand from three to ten distinct themes.
  • — GuestName

  • The theme of 2025 may involve exciting developments alongside potential overvaluations.
  • — Matt

  • The long-term outlook for 2026 is extraordinarily strong despite short-term disappointments.
  • — Matt

  • The year 2025 may be seen as a pivotal moment in overcoming significant market barriers.
  • — Matt


The traditional four-year cycle in crypto is becoming obsolete due to the influence of institutional adoption. Institutional investments in crypto have reached a staggering $15 trillion, indicating a major shift in market dynamics. The fear and greed index suggests a stable market outlook despite…

Key takeaways

  • The traditional four-year cycle in crypto is becoming obsolete due to the influence of institutional adoption.
  • Institutional investments in crypto have reached a staggering $15 trillion, indicating a major shift in market dynamics.
  • The fear and greed index suggests a stable market outlook despite current flat conditions.
  • Liquidity in the crypto market decreases on weekends, adding to market fragility.
  • Covered call strategies are a popular method for Bitcoin holders to generate income without selling their assets.
  • The Bitcoin halving event is losing its significance in influencing market cycles.
  • Interest rates have a notable impact on crypto market performance, with rising rates typically leading to poor performance.
  • Institutional adoption is significantly increasing, reshaping the crypto landscape.
  • Regulatory changes are shifting from being obstacles to becoming supportive forces for the crypto market.
  • MicroStrategy is not in a position where it will be forced to sell its Bitcoin holdings.
  • Institutional investors are expected to fill the purchasing gap left by MicroStrategy.
  • Large financial institutions could dramatically increase Bitcoin ETF inflows, potentially doubling the current pace.

Guest intro

The guest featured on Empire is a notable figure in the crypto industry, providing insights into the evolving landscape. With a deep understanding of market dynamics, the guest discusses the impact of institutional adoption, regulatory changes, and investment strategies on the crypto market. Their perspective is valuable for understanding the future trajectory of digital assets and the role of financial institutions in this space. The episode covers a range of topics, including market cycles, investment strategies, and the influence of regulatory developments.

The end of the four-year cycle in crypto

  • — Matt Hogan

  • Institutional investments have reached approximately $15 trillion, reshaping the market landscape.
  • — GuestName

  • The forces that caused the four-year cycle are now very weak, suggesting a shift in market dynamics.
  • — GuestName

  • The four-year cycle has been a primary driver of volatility in the current year.
  • — GuestName

  • Institutional adoption narrative is overwhelming traditional cycles, with major banks greenlighting crypto exposure.
  • — GuestName

Weekend liquidity challenges in crypto

  • Liquidity in the crypto market decreases on weekends, making it more fragile.
  • — GuestName

  • Understanding trading hours and liquidity is crucial for managing market volatility.
  • The decrease in liquidity contributes to increased market fragility on weekends.
  • This phenomenon highlights the importance of liquidity management in crypto trading.
  • Weekend trading dynamics can lead to unexpected price movements due to low liquidity.
  • Traders should be aware of these patterns to better navigate weekend market conditions.
  • Liquidity challenges on weekends underscore the need for strategic trading approaches.

Covered call strategies for Bitcoin holders

  • Covered call strategies allow Bitcoin holders to generate income without selling their assets.
  • — GuestName

  • More than 50% of perceived Bitcoin selling is happening through covered call strategies.
  • — GuestName

  • This strategy is becoming a fast-growing business in the cryptocurrency space.
  • — GuestName

  • Covered calls offer a way to manage Bitcoin investments while generating income.
  • The strategy reflects a shift in investment approaches among Bitcoin holders.
  • Understanding options trading is key to leveraging covered call strategies effectively.

The diminishing role of Bitcoin halving

  • The Bitcoin halving is becoming less significant in influencing market cycles.
  • — GuestName

  • Historical patterns suggest a reduced impact of halving events on price dynamics.
  • This change reflects evolving market conditions and increased institutional influence.
  • The diminishing role of halving highlights the need for new market analysis frameworks.
  • Investors should adjust their strategies to account for this shift in market dynamics.
  • The reduced significance of halving events may lead to more stable market conditions.
  • Understanding the changing impact of halving is crucial for future investment decisions.

MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin strategy

  • MicroStrategy is not in a position where it will be forced to sell its Bitcoin.
  • — Matt

  • MicroStrategy’s debt is manageable, with no immediate need to sell Bitcoin.
  • — Matt

  • The market misunderstands MicroStrategy’s role as both a buyer and seller of Bitcoin.
  • — Matt

  • Institutional investors are likely to fill the purchasing gap left by MicroStrategy.
  • — Matt

Institutional adoption and its impact

  • Institutional adoption of crypto is significantly increasing, reshaping the market.
  • — GuestName

  • Large financial institutions could significantly increase Bitcoin ETF inflows.
  • — GuestName

  • Regulatory changes are shifting from severe headwinds to strong tailwinds for the crypto market.
  • — GuestName

  • Institutional investors are expected to fill the purchasing gap left by MicroStrategy.
  • — Matt

The evolving regulatory landscape

  • Regulatory changes are shifting from severe headwinds to strong tailwinds for the crypto market.
  • — GuestName

  • Regulations now allow tokens to have economic value linked to underlying protocols.
  • — GuestName

  • The regulatory challenges surrounding privacy tokens like Zcash hinder institutional adoption.
  • — GuestName

  • Regulation will enable more direct economic ties between tokens and their underlying activities.
  • — GuestName

The future of ICOs and tokenization

  • ICOs will return and be significantly larger than in 2017.
  • — GuestName

  • The new ICO process is more democratic and efficient compared to traditional IPOs.
  • — GuestName

  • Regulations now allow tokens to have economic value linked to underlying protocols.
  • — GuestName

  • The market is likely to be disappointed with stablecoins and tokenization in 2026.
  • — Matt

The role of financial advisors in crypto

  • Client retention is more important than growth for financial advisors in crypto.
  • — Guest

  • The reduction in Bitcoin’s volatility is crucial for financial advisors to manage client relationships.
  • — Guest

  • Financial advisors are slow to adopt Bitcoin due to the need for extensive client education and risk aversion.
  • — GuestName

  • Financial advisors are not as focused on detailed portfolio construction as commonly believed.
  • — Guest

The future of crypto narratives

  • In the next two years, the narrative of crypto will expand from three to ten distinct themes.
  • — GuestName

  • The theme of 2025 may involve exciting developments alongside potential overvaluations.
  • — Matt

  • The long-term outlook for 2026 is extraordinarily strong despite short-term disappointments.
  • — Matt

  • The year 2025 may be seen as a pivotal moment in overcoming significant market barriers.
  • — Matt

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