Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction: Willy Woo Warns of Crash to $45K With Bear Market Bottom Expected in 2027

TLDR

• Analyst Willy Woo warns of a major Bitcoin price crash incoming after a short rebound to ~$75K
• BTC could bottom at $45K, with $30K possible if global macro conditions break down
• Both spot and futures liquidity are deteriorating — Woo says he’s never seen BTC rally in these conditions
• The bearish trend is expected to ease in Q4 2026, with a bull market return in Q1 or Q2 2027
• Other analysts echo the bearish outlook, with Peter Brandt calling for a drop to $42K

On-chain analyst Willy Woo has warned that Bitcoin is heading for a major price drop, with a likely bottom around $45,000.

Woo says BTC may briefly rebound to $75,000 and trade sideways for about a month. But he doesn’t expect that level to hold.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $67,800, down roughly 1% on the day.

Glassnode has noted that profit-taking is draining momentum near the $70,000 level. Even small sell events are enough to push the price back down in the current thin liquidity environment.

Bear Market Bottom Targets

Woo puts $45,000 as his base case for the bear market bottom. He expects strong buy-the-dip interest at that level.

If global macro conditions worsen further, he sees $30,000 as the next major support. He has identified $16,000 as the final line that would need to hold to keep Bitcoin’s long-term bull trend intact.

Woo noted that Bitcoin has only ever existed during a global macro bull market, running from 2009 to 2026. A breakdown of that environment would be uncharted territory for BTC.

Timeline for Recovery

Woo expects the bearish trend to begin fading in Q4 2026. He said a bullish trend could return in Q1 or Q2 2027, which aligns with Bitcoin’s historical four-year cycle.

Veteran trader Peter Brandt has also predicted a Bitcoin drop, targeting $42,000. That level aligns with the 200-week moving average, a widely watched long-term support indicator.

Some market participants are watching the realized price at $54,000 as a nearer-term downside target.

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan holds a different view. He believes selling pressure has eased and that the market may be in the process of forming a bottom, with new all-time highs still possible.

BTC is currently trading at approximately $67,800, with Glassnode data showing continued momentum suppression near the $70,000 zone.

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