Saudi Aramco said the Iran war has caused the biggest oil supply disruption on record

Saudi oil giant Saudi Aramco warned Tuesday that the war America and Israel started with Iran could hit global prices hard as oil and gas supply across the Gulf comes under extreme pressure.

The warning came as Rapidan Energy said the conflict has caused the biggest supply disruption in the history of the oil market.

Saudi Aramco chief executive Amin Nasser said the war will have “catastropic consequences” for the market.

Amin said the region has dealt with supply problems before, but nothing close to this. He said, “While we have faced disruptions in the past, this one by far is the biggest crisis the region’s oil and gas industry has faced.”

If the war keeps choking those flows, higher fuel and transport costs could spill into consumer prices worldwide and make inflation harder to control.

Trump threatens harsher U.S. attacks as Iran hits Gulf energy facilities

President Donald Trump said Monday that Iran would pay heavily if it tried to block oil traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. In a post on Truth Social, Trump wrote:-

That threat came as the war entered another violent stage and Washington signaled a bigger round of attacks.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Tuesday that “Today will be, yet again, our most intense day of strikes inside Iran.”

Speaking at the Pentagon with Gen. Dan Caine, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Pete said, “Iran stands alone, and they are badly losing on Day 10 of Operation Epic Fury.”

He also said the United States had seen “Iran fire the lowest number of missiles they’ve been capable of firing yet” over the last 24 hours. Pete condemned Iran for striking Gulf neighbors that had not attacked it, including states it had previously counted as partners.

Pete said the United States would send “the most fighters, the most bombers, the most strikes” against Iran on Tuesday. He listed three military goals. The first was to destroy Iran’s missile stockpiles and its ability to keep making missiles. The second was to “destroy their Navy.” The third was to “permanently deny Iran nuclear weapons forever.”

Those remarks added more heat to an already strained oil market, where traders are watching every military statement for signs that regional production or shipping could suffer a deeper blow.

The attacks are already hitting major industrial sites. QatarEnergy, the state-owned energy company in Qatar, produces helium as a byproduct of liquefied natural gas, or LNG. Its Ras Laffan Industrial City was hit by an Iranian drone attack last week, forcing the site offline.

That matters because helium is used in sectors far beyond energy. It is needed in medical systems, electronics, and advanced manufacturing.

While Pete was speaking on Tuesday, authorities in Abu Dhabi said another Iranian drone attack had started a fire at the oil refinery inside the Ruwais Industrial Complex in the United Arab Emirates. No injuries were immediately reported.

Trump also weighed in on Iran’s leadership. In a Monday evening interview on Fox News, he said he was “not happy” that Iran had chosen Mojtaba Khamenei as its new supreme leader after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed at the start of the war. Trump said of Mojtaba, “I don’t believe he can live in peace.”

Chip stocks sink as oil war spills into the semiconductor supply chain

The war is not only battering Saudi energy markets. It is also rattling the global semiconductor trade. The U.S.-Israel war with Iran has drawn fresh attention to the role Middle Eastern countries play in the chip supply chain, especially through energy, shipping, and industrial gas production.

That pressure showed up fast in equity markets, where semiconductor names were caught in a broader sell-off before Trump said Monday that the war would end “very soon.”

The biggest damage has landed on memory chipmakers SK Hynix and Samsung. More than $200 billion has been wiped off their combined market value since the war began, even though both stocks bounced sharply on Tuesday.

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF, known as SMH, is down about 3% since the start of the war, though it cut part of that loss after rising 3.6% on Monday.

The chart still shows important levels. Semiconductors are up 150% from the Q1 2025 lows and remain just 6.5% below all-time highs. SMH held the $380 to $385 pivot zone, which acted as resistance in 2025 and then turned into support in 2026.

The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, and price is above both. QQQ and SMH have also shown better relative strength than weaker parts of the market in recent weeks.

Investors were also waiting for Oracle’s earnings Tuesday night for more details on the AI infrastructure buildout. That comes after strong earnings reports from Nvidia, Broadcom, and Marvell.

For now, though, the core problem remains the same. Saudi warnings, military threats, drone strikes, damaged industrial sites, and market losses are all landing at once.

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