Arthur Hayes Says He Would Not Invest $1 in Bitcoin Now

TLDR

• Arthur Hayes said he would not invest $1 in Bitcoin at current prices.
• He stated that he will wait for the Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy before buying.
• Hayes said money printing supports Bitcoin growth more than geopolitical conflict.
• Bitcoin traded near $69,926 and remained about 45% below its October peak.
• Hayes warned that extended geopolitical tensions could push Bitcoin below $60,000.

Arthur Hayes said he would not invest $1 in Bitcoin (BTC) at current prices despite his long-term bullish target. He explained that he prefers to wait until the US Federal Reserve loosens monetary policy before buying. Hayes shared his views during a recent Coin Stories podcast published on YouTube.

Bitcoin and Arthur Hayes: Wait for Fed easing before buying

Hayes stated that he would stay on the sidelines for now.

He said he plans to buy when central banks begin printing money again.

Hayes addressed claims that war benefits Bitcoin. He said, “war is good for Bitcoin,” but argued that “money printing is good for Bitcoin.” He linked future gains to potential Federal Reserve easing tied to prolonged conflict.

He referred to tensions between the US and Iran during the discussion. He said extended conflict could pressure the Fed to support government spending. He explained that such action could involve renewed liquidity measures.

Bitcoin price outlook and $250,000 target for 2026

Hayes said he remains uncertain about Bitcoin’s price bottom. Bitcoin traded at $69,926 at publication time. The price stands about 45% below its October all-time high of $126,000.

He warned that ongoing geopolitical tensions could weigh on markets. He said a prolonged conflict could trigger a broad sell-off in equities and Bitcoin. He suggested that such a move could drive Bitcoin below $60,000.

Hayes said a drop under $60,000 could spark cascading liquidations. Bitcoin briefly touched $60,000 on Feb. 6 before recovering into a mild uptrend. He said further downside remains possible if market pressure increases.

Despite short-term hesitation, Hayes repeated his long-term forecast. He predicted that Bitcoin could reach $250,000 in 2026. He also said he does not expect many more years with Bitcoin trading below $100,000.

Other analysts expressed stronger short-term optimism. Michaël van de Poppe cited a strong surge in the Nasdaq. He said there are fewer arguments for uncertainty and predicted more upside for Bitcoin and altcoins.

Hayes previously maintained his $250,000 year-end projection as recently as October. He continues to frame his strategy around central bank policy shifts. Bitcoin traded near $69,926 at the time of reporting.

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