'No way on God's green earth' can GOP majority survive Trump's cratering polls: data guru

President Donald Trump's support among male voters is plummeting, and CNN's Harry Enten warned the Republican congressional majority it may not survive the fall.

The 79-year-old president rode a wave of support from that half of the electorate to the White House in 2024, but many of them have already turned on his second term, and that growing unpopularity could cut into his party's chances of maintaining control of the House and Senate.

"Look, the bottom line is this," Enten said. "Donald Trump and Republicans won in 2024 because of support from male voters. The only way they can win, given the gender gap in this country, is support from male voters, and male voters are abandoning Donald Trump.

"Take a look here, this gives the game away, okay? Trump's standing with men in November of 2024, he beat Kamala Harris, among them, by 13 points. Look at where he is now on his net approval rating – down he goes. It's a 20-point shift away from Donald Trump. He is now seven points underwater at this particular point among men. I think it is very difficult for Republicans to do well in this midterm cycle if Donald Trump is underwater with men."

The president is doing even worse with younger men, Enten said.

"There was a massive shift to Donald Trump from 2020 to 2024 among young men, and look right here – whoa, whoa, yikes, yikes, yikes, yikes," Enten said. "Men under the age of 25 on Trump. He won them in 2024 by five points, look where he is now. The net approval rating way down there. Down we go to minus-19 points. That's nearly, what is that, nearly a 25-point switcheroo against the president of the United States when it comes to men under the age of 45? Those men that had switched their allegiances over to the Republican Party are seeing what the president is doing, they don't like what the president is doing, and they have very much soured on the president of the United States."

One issue has been dragging Trump down since he returned to office, according to poll after poll.

"There are a lot of issues that have caused them to sour on President Trump, but one, in particular, we've spoken about it over and over and over again," Enten said. "It's the cost of living, it's inflation. Look at this: Okay, men on Trump and the cost of living in October of 2024. Look at this, Trump was trusted more than Kamala Harris by 10 points on this issue. Now we've got a 40-point switcheroo in the other direction. Look at this: His net approval rating on the cost of living among men is underwater by 30 percentage points.

"There is no way on God's green earth that the Republican Party can hold on to the House of Representatives if this number holds," he added. "When you're 30 points underwater with the gender, that of course, puts you over the top in the election, on the cost of living, the number one issue, that means see you later [to] that Republican House majority and maybe that Senate majority, as well."

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