INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA – NOVEMBER 26: Jonathan Taylor #28 of the Indianapolis Colts reaches with the ball for a first down in the fourth quarter of the game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 26, 2023 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)
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It is Week 7 in the NFL, and the main slate is 10 games. There are four games with totals over 46.5 and one game with a 55.5 total (that is also inside). It is time to consider weather factors when filling out your roster (there are predicted winds and rain in Cleveland), and a couple of revenge narratives can push some games.
Let’s find some value stacks for both your single entry and GPP plays.
All ownership projections courtesy of One Week Season.
Week 7 Single Entry Stacks
Now you know that you are salivating at the Washington @ Dallas and the 55.5 potential point total. And if you are thinking of stacking this game, I’m not mad at you.
The chalk, though, so if you want to grab a piece of this game (and you should grab a piece if you aren’t stacking), here are a couple of skinny stacks to consider.
Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns -2.5, 35.5 o/u
Not only is the predictive total low, but the early weather report for Cleveland isn’t great. It’s going to rain, not great. But the worst is the 27mph wind, super not great.
But currently, Quinshon Judkins’ rushing prop on DraftKings Sportsbook is 90+ yards (-145). And when you skinny stack this, you have more than enough salary to get in on the Washington, Dallas game.
QB, D. Gabriel $4,400 + RB Q. Judkins $6,000
Judkins is currently coming in at 22% ownership, and Gabriel is at 3.7%. Their cost is 20.8% of your total salary or approximately $5,657 left for the remaining roster.
New York Giants @ Denver Broncos -7.5, 40.5 o/u
The Broncos’ defense leads the league in sacks (30) and pressure percentage (46.1%). Except for Justin Fields’ 31 scrambling yards last week, no quarterback has more than 10 rushing yards against them.
QB, B. Nix $5,600 + Denver Defense $3,500
Nix is coming in at 3.6% ownership, and the Broncos’ defense is at 13%. Their combined salary is 18.2% of your total salary, or approximately $5,843 left for the remainder of your roster.
LV Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs -11.5, 45.5 o/u
The return of Rashee Rice from his six-game suspension. The plus is that the Raiders play zone defense at 86% which is the second-highest rate in the NFL. Patrick Mahomes leads the NFL with a 58% dropback success rate against zone coverage. And when last seen, Rice was the zone buster for the offense.
There are two issues: first, how much will Rice actually play, and 2, will the Raiders be able to push the Chiefs to continue an offensive onslaught?
ATLANTA, GEORGIA – SEPTEMBER 22: Rashee Rice #4 and Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs walk off the field after a win over the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on September 22, 2024 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Todd Kirkland/Getty Images)
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QB, P. Mahomes $7000 + WR, R. Rice $5,600 + X. Worthy $6,100
Mahomes is the highest-salaried quarterback on the slate, and Rice has the highest ownership (31%). Mahones is coming in at 13.7% and Worthy at 6.1%.
Their combined salaries cost you 37.4% of your total salary, leaving you $5,217 remaining for the rest of your roster.
Week 7 GPP Stacks
You still want to grab a piece of the 55.5 implied total, but you are now reaching for the ceiling and caring a little less about the safe floor.
Carolina Panthers -1.5 @ New York Jets, 41.5 o/u
When last seen, Justin Fields was taking nine sacks and had nine completions. He finished with 45 passing yards and 31 rushing yards. Yeesh! That was against a very different defense. The Panthers’ defense ranks 31st in pressure rate at 24%. They have also yielded the most receiving yards (74) and the second most fantasy points per game to the tight end position (10.2).
QB, J. Fields $5,700 + TE, M. Taylor $3,400/ RB, R. Dowdle $6,800 + WR, J. Coker $4,000
Coker is still listed on IR, but head coach Dave Canales has stated that Coker will play Sunday, monitor the situation. Chances are Sauce Gardner will shadow Tetairoa McMillan, making the WR2 in this offense the better play.
The salary for the four is 39.8% of your total roster salary, leaving you $6,020 for the remainder of your roster.
The ownership for this part of the stack is low, also with Fields coming in at 2.6%, Taylor 6.3%, Dowdle 8.5% and Coker less than 1%.
New England Patriots -6.5 @ Tennessee Titans, 42.5 o/u
The interim coach bump is a real thing, as is Jeffery Simmons. Both could wreck this stack, but I’m counting on Mike Vrable’s revenge narrative winning out.
QB, D. Maye $6,300 + TE, H. Henry $4,100
Maye is coming in at 2.8% ownership, and Henry at 5%. This skinny stack only costs you 20.8% of your total salary, leaving you $5,657 for the remainder.
Depending on the narrative or game script you believe will happen, you can easily add a Patriots wide receiver.
Stefon Diggs $5,600 at 11.5% ownership; Kayshon Boutte $4,600 at 1.2% ownership; DeMario Douglas $4,000 at less than 1% ownership
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys -1.5, 54.5 o/u
Jayden Daniels is not only the highest-priced quarterback on the slate but also has the highest ownership at 21.9%. So to make it different but still onslaught this game, pivot to Dak Prescott with 4.8% ownership. Add a less than 1% owned Luke McCaffrey and stack away.
QB, Dak Prescott $6,500 + WR, C. Lamb $7,500 + WR, G. Pickens $7,300/ RB, J. Croskey-Merritt $6,100 + WR L. McCaffrey $4,100
This lineup takes up 63% of your total salary, leaving you $4,625 each for the last four roster spots.
And So…
It’s not often you get a slate that has a 55.5 total and is indoors! Whether you are playing single-entry or GPP, you are going to need a piece of that game if the game script goes as planned.
Just remember your basics, in single entry, you want the safe floor and the high ceiling. With this slate, the important thing is to get your high ceiling by differentiating yourself from the masses.
When you put in your GPP lineup, go for the highest of high and be less cautious about your floor. Meaning pick that dark horse that few are looking towards.
Two games I did not mention but have high totals are the Indianapolis Colts @ Los Angeles Chargers, coming in at 48.5, with the Chargers only 1.5-favorite, and the New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears. The Bears are a 5.5-point favorite, and the total is 46.5.
Good Luck, and play nice.
Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/gladyslouisetyler/2025/10/18/nfl-2025-week-7-fantasy-football-top-dfs-single-entry-and-gpp-stacks/
