US war with Iran could get 'harder' as Trump team nears worst-case scenario: analyst

President Donald Trump has made the war with Iran much trickier after prematurely declaring victory, a political analyst has warned.

Trump took to Truth Social and made a series of posts regarding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. One post reads, "President Xi is very happy that the Strait of Hormuz is open and/or rapidly opening. Our meeting in China will be a special one and, potentially, Historic. I look forward to being with President Xi — Much will be accomplished! President DONALD J. TRUMP."

Another saw Trump declare the matter of reopening the strait over. "Now that the Hormuz Strait situation is over, I received a call from NATO asking if we would need some help," he wrote yesterday. "I TOLD THEM TO STAY AWAY, UNLESS THEY JUST WANT TO LOAD UP THEIR SHIPS WITH OIL. They were useless when needed, a Paper Tiger! President DJT."

But in declaring victory with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which has since been closed once again according to Iranian media, Trump has made ending the war with Iran that much trickier.

The Preparedness and Politics Substack argues that the declaration of victory so close to the new closure makes peace a much tougher conclusion to the war. They wrote, "For shipping markets and insurance underwriters, the political contradiction is itself risk.

"When the US president publicly declares victory while ten thousand US personnel actively enforce a blockade that the other party calls illegal and threatens to retaliate against, the contradiction is a reason to keep rates high.

"If Iran reneges on the opening — as the April 7-8 pattern suggests is entirely possible — lifting the blockade in response becomes harder, not easier, because Trump has already claimed the situation is resolved."

A new closure of the Strait of Hormuz was confirmed by Iranian military operational command, Khatam Al Anbiya, with a statement accusing the US of "maritime piracy and theft".

The statement reads, "For this reason, control of the Strait of Hormuz has reverted to its previous state, and this strategic waterway is under the strict management and control of the armed forces.

"Until the US restores the complete freedom of navigation for vessels from an Iranian origin to a destination, and from a destination back to Iran, the situation in the Strait of Hormuz will remain strictly controlled and in its previous state."

President Trump previously imposed a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as part of his escalating Iran war strategy, declaring he would "immediately eliminate" Iranian Navy vessels attempting to breach it.