Bitcoin’s Calm Before the Storm? Samson Mow Predicts Major Upswing

TLDR

• Samson Mow stated that the Bitcoin bull run has not yet started.
• Bitcoin’s price dropped below $100,000 during the recent market downturn.
• Mow believes Bitcoin is only slightly outperforming inflation at current levels.
• He predicted a potential cycle top for Bitcoin in 2026 but said he does not rely on cycles.
• Mow dismissed concerns about long-time Bitcoin holders selling their coins.

Bitcoin traded below $100,000 this week as Samson Mow, founder of Jan3, claimed the bull run has not begun. He said Bitcoin is only “marginally outperforming inflation” and predicted a stronger rally ahead.

BTC Remains Under Pressure

Bitcoin dropped to $99,607 on Wednesday, according to CoinGecko, extending its weekly decline. Analysts linked the fall to rising trade tensions between the US and China. Broader economic uncertainty also weighed on cryptocurrency sentiment this week.

However, Mow maintained that the price action does not reflect the next major market cycle. He wrote on X that “the Bitcoin bull run hasn’t started yet.” He explained that current levels only keep pace with inflation, not real growth.

Mow argued that traders are overly cautious despite the long-term potential of Bitcoin. He added that “Bitcoiners should focus on the big picture” as the asset’s next phase develops. He emphasized that fears of a prolonged downturn are misplaced.

Mow Projects Extended Bitcoin Cycle

Mow said the next possible top could arrive in 2026 if traditional cycles hold. However, he added that he does not personally believe in rigid cycle theories. He said the market could instead enter a decade-long “generational bull run.”

He described this as similar to gold’s rally following the launch of its first exchange-traded fund. “Plan accordingly,” Mow said, referring to how investors might adjust expectations. He suggested Bitcoin’s growth pattern may now be evolving beyond prior models.

Crypto Fear Index Turns to Extreme Fear

Macro analyst Jordi Visser recently compared Bitcoin’s market phase to an initial product offering stage. He suggested long-time holders are selling while new traders accumulate positions. He described this phase as part of a broader market transition.

Mow countered that fears of “OGs selling” are exaggerated. He stated, “I don’t know any OG’s that are selling btw.” He urged market participants to ignore speculation and focus on Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.

He added that “people are capable of self-owning themselves with fear” when reacting to short-term price movements. Instead, he said Bitcoin will “add a zero,” implying a future surge beyond current ranges. Mow reaffirmed confidence in the asset’s resilience despite current weakness.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index shifted to “extreme fear” this week, showing bearish trader emotions. The index reflects reduced confidence after recent market declines. However, Mow’s company Jan3 offers an alternative index with an inverted reading.

As of Wednesday, Bitcoin continued to trade just below $100,000 while volatility persisted. Mow maintained that current market weakness represents a pause, not the start of decline. He said the real Bitcoin bull run “is yet to begin.”

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