The post Circle Stock Plummets By Almost 70% Post-IPO Debut, Analysts Issue Warnings appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Following a notable debut on the Nasdaq earlier this year, Circle (CRCL), the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, has experienced a significant decline in its stock value. After hitting a peak of $298 on June 23, just 18 days post-launch, shares have now dropped by 68%, trading around $82. Circle Faces Challenges As Lockup Period Approaches Despite benefiting from a softer regulatory stance on digital assets in the US with President Trump’s crypto policies, Circle faces challenges that history does not favor, particularly as it approaches the end of its lockup period.  Analysts, including Dan Dolev from Mizuho, highlighted that this lockup period prevents insiders from selling shares, typically for 180 days after an initial public offering.  Circle’s initial public offering (IPO) filing indicated that this lockup period is set to expire two days after the company unveils its third-quarter earnings, which is this Friday. Mizuho’s analysis of over 750 IPOs with market capitalizations exceeding $1 billion reveals that 58% of companies that outperform the S&P 500 prior to their lockup period tend to underperform the index in the 180 days following it. These companies see an average decline of approximately 2%.  The outlook is even bleaker for firms falling short of revenue expectations in the year after their IPOs, which tend to experience an average negative return of about 10% relative to the S&P 500. Circle may find itself in this latter category according to Mizuho. A significant portion of the company’s revenue comes from the interest on USDC reserves held in short-term US Treasuries, Treasury repurchase agreements, and cash.  Consequently, a decline in interest rates or slower-than-anticipated growth of USDC could adversely impact revenue streams. Dolev noted:  In our view, CRCL is likely to see downward revisions to consensus estimates over the coming years amid declining rates and… The post Circle Stock Plummets By Almost 70% Post-IPO Debut, Analysts Issue Warnings appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Following a notable debut on the Nasdaq earlier this year, Circle (CRCL), the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, has experienced a significant decline in its stock value. After hitting a peak of $298 on June 23, just 18 days post-launch, shares have now dropped by 68%, trading around $82. Circle Faces Challenges As Lockup Period Approaches Despite benefiting from a softer regulatory stance on digital assets in the US with President Trump’s crypto policies, Circle faces challenges that history does not favor, particularly as it approaches the end of its lockup period.  Analysts, including Dan Dolev from Mizuho, highlighted that this lockup period prevents insiders from selling shares, typically for 180 days after an initial public offering.  Circle’s initial public offering (IPO) filing indicated that this lockup period is set to expire two days after the company unveils its third-quarter earnings, which is this Friday. Mizuho’s analysis of over 750 IPOs with market capitalizations exceeding $1 billion reveals that 58% of companies that outperform the S&P 500 prior to their lockup period tend to underperform the index in the 180 days following it. These companies see an average decline of approximately 2%.  The outlook is even bleaker for firms falling short of revenue expectations in the year after their IPOs, which tend to experience an average negative return of about 10% relative to the S&P 500. Circle may find itself in this latter category according to Mizuho. A significant portion of the company’s revenue comes from the interest on USDC reserves held in short-term US Treasuries, Treasury repurchase agreements, and cash.  Consequently, a decline in interest rates or slower-than-anticipated growth of USDC could adversely impact revenue streams. Dolev noted:  In our view, CRCL is likely to see downward revisions to consensus estimates over the coming years amid declining rates and…

Circle Stock Plummets By Almost 70% Post-IPO Debut, Analysts Issue Warnings

2025/11/15 16:13
3분 읽기
이 콘텐츠에 대한 의견이나 우려 사항이 있으시면 crypto.news@mexc.com으로 연락주시기 바랍니다

Following a notable debut on the Nasdaq earlier this year, Circle (CRCL), the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, has experienced a significant decline in its stock value. After hitting a peak of $298 on June 23, just 18 days post-launch, shares have now dropped by 68%, trading around $82.

Circle Faces Challenges As Lockup Period Approaches

Despite benefiting from a softer regulatory stance on digital assets in the US with President Trump’s crypto policies, Circle faces challenges that history does not favor, particularly as it approaches the end of its lockup period. 

Analysts, including Dan Dolev from Mizuho, highlighted that this lockup period prevents insiders from selling shares, typically for 180 days after an initial public offering. 

Circle’s initial public offering (IPO) filing indicated that this lockup period is set to expire two days after the company unveils its third-quarter earnings, which is this Friday.

Mizuho’s analysis of over 750 IPOs with market capitalizations exceeding $1 billion reveals that 58% of companies that outperform the S&P 500 prior to their lockup period tend to underperform the index in the 180 days following it. These companies see an average decline of approximately 2%. 

The outlook is even bleaker for firms falling short of revenue expectations in the year after their IPOs, which tend to experience an average negative return of about 10% relative to the S&P 500.

Circle may find itself in this latter category according to Mizuho. A significant portion of the company’s revenue comes from the interest on USDC reserves held in short-term US Treasuries, Treasury repurchase agreements, and cash. 

Consequently, a decline in interest rates or slower-than-anticipated growth of USDC could adversely impact revenue streams. Dolev noted:

Is CRCL A Buy-Low Opportunity? 

Despite these potential downward adjustments, Circle recently exceeded consensus estimates for both revenue and earnings in its third-quarter report. 

Following the announcement, JP Morgan issued a double-upgrade for the stock from Underweight to Overweight, raising its price target from $94 to $100. The bank underscored the ongoing acceptance of stablecoins within mainstream financial institutions, with USDC being a leading player in this space.

However, the impending lockup expiration has already placed downward pressure on Circle’s stock, according to JP Morgan analyst Kenneth Worthington. 

He views the current situation as a “buy-low opportunity” for investors, suggesting that the stock’s decline post-lockup may have brought it to levels below its December 2026 price target, indicating potential for future upside.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/news/circle-stock-plummets-by-almost-70-post-ipo-debut-analysts-issue-warnings/

면책 조항: 본 사이트에 재게시된 글들은 공개 플랫폼에서 가져온 것으로 정보 제공 목적으로만 제공됩니다. 이는 반드시 MEXC의 견해를 반영하는 것은 아닙니다. 모든 권리는 원저자에게 있습니다. 제3자의 권리를 침해하는 콘텐츠가 있다고 판단될 경우, crypto.news@mexc.com으로 연락하여 삭제 요청을 해주시기 바랍니다. MEXC는 콘텐츠의 정확성, 완전성 또는 시의적절성에 대해 어떠한 보증도 하지 않으며, 제공된 정보에 기반하여 취해진 어떠한 조치에 대해서도 책임을 지지 않습니다. 본 콘텐츠는 금융, 법률 또는 기타 전문적인 조언을 구성하지 않으며, MEXC의 추천이나 보증으로 간주되어서는 안 됩니다.

$30,000 in PRL + 15,000 USDT

$30,000 in PRL + 15,000 USDT$30,000 in PRL + 15,000 USDT

Deposit & trade PRL to boost your rewards!