Nick Talwar: AI startups built on momentum and marketing slides won’t make it through. Talwar says the strongest companies will not win by having the best modelNick Talwar: AI startups built on momentum and marketing slides won’t make it through. Talwar says the strongest companies will not win by having the best model

How to Build an AI Startup That Can Survive the Coming Correction: 4 Different Strategies

2025/12/21 00:00

\ Forbes reported that in August, nearly $1 trillion in market cap disappeared across big tech and AI-adjacent companies. Now, more than 370 AI unicorns are standing on pretty shaky ground.

\ Startups built on momentum and marketing slides won’t make it through. The ones that last will be the ones built like systems. Grounded in revenue and resilience that still makes sense two quarters from now.

1. Build Moats Beyond the Model

The strongest companies will not win by having the best model because that edge does not last. We all know that technology is changing more quickly than we can even keep up with.

\ Survivors will create moats through distribution, enterprise integration, and access to proprietary or regulated data. They will build end-to-end workflows that customers cannot easily replace.

\ NVIDIA is a clear example. It did not just build chips; it created the infrastructure layer that the industry depends on. Vertical SaaS providers that deeply embed AI into their operations do the same. Once implemented, these systems are almost impossible to remove.

2. Manage Fragility in the Stack

Many AI startups remain overly dependent on others. They rely on NVIDIA for compute, OpenAI for APIs, and Microsoft or Google for distribution.

\ A supply shortage, a price hike, Google Apps deploying your startup as a feature, or a regulatory shift could put them out of business.

\ Companies that endure will design modular, model-agnostic architectures. They will build redundancy into their systems and prepare for the possibility that a key vendor may fail them. If one dependency can shut down your business, you are not building for resilience.

3. Prepare for Investor Scrutiny

The funding environment is already shifting. In Q1 2025, AI startups raised more than $80 billion. But that pace has slowed, and startups are now facing increased scrutiny.

\ Investors will demand ROI, transparent revenue models, compliance readiness, and governance that prevents waste and promotes a unified approach to AI adoption.

\ Founders must operate with the expectation that their next funding round will occur in a down market. That requires financial discipline, strong systems, and a clear plan for converting potential into performance. The bar has risen.

4. Think in Years, Not Quarters

AI is a general-purpose technology, much closer to electricity or the internet than to a product cycle.

\ Understand that the short term will be turbulent. Valuations will drop, and pilots will fail. But the long-term trajectory looks a lot different. By 2030, AI will be deeply integrated across industries, driving trillions of dollars in economic value.

\ So which companies will remain standing? I believe the survivors will design platforms and workflows that embed into critical operations. They are building for the next decade, not the next fundraising pitch.

AI Will Outlast the “Bubble”

Some valuations will collapse, but AI will endure. And this isn’t always a bad thing. The correction will clear away what is unsustainable and reward what is built to last.

\ Yes, many startups will vanish. But the group that will survive will go on to reshape industries for decades to come.

. . .

Nick Talwar is a CTO, ex-Microsoft, and a hands-on AI engineer who supports executives in navigating AI adoption. He shares insights on AI-first strategies to drive bottom-line impact.

\ Follow him on LinkedIn to catch his latest thoughts.

Subscribe to his free Substack for in-depth articles delivered straight to your inbox.

Watch the live session to see how leaders in highly regulated industries leverage AI to cut manual work and drive ROI.

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