Descending Channel Holds as ETF Inflows Fail to Shift Momentum

• XRP remains trapped inside a multi-month descending channel, with the EMA cluster and Supertrend capping rallies.
• ETF products saw roughly $82 million in net inflows last week, but spot market participation remains muted.
• Short-term stabilization above $1.90 has emerged, though failure to reclaim $1.98 keeps downside risk active.

XRP price today trades near $1.93 after attempting to stabilize above the lower boundary of its multi-month descending channel. While broader ETF flow data shows net inflows into XRP products last week, spot market behavior and chart structure suggest buyers remain cautious as price struggles to reclaim key resistance.

Descending Channel Continues To Define Trend

On the daily chart, XRP remains locked inside a clearly defined descending channel that has guided price action since the July peak. Each recovery attempt has stalled below the channel’s upper boundary, reinforcing seller control on higher timeframes.

Price continues to trade below the full EMA stack. The 20-day EMA near $1.98 marks the first layer of resistance, followed by the 50-day EMA at $2.13. Above that, the 100-day and 200-day EMAs sit near $2.32 and $2.41, forming a dense ceiling that has capped upside momentum since October.

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The Supertrend remains red near $2.18, aligning with the EMA cluster and confirming that the broader trend remains corrective rather than consolidative. As long as XRP trades below this zone, the structure favors sellers.

Despite price holding above recent lows, spot flow data shows no meaningful change in positioning. XRP netflows remain largely flat today, signaling a lack of fresh demand entering the market.

ETF Inflows Support Sentiment But Lag Price

Recent ETF flow data paints a more constructive picture beneath the surface. According to Cointelegraph, XRP spot ETFs recorded approximately $82 million in net inflows last week, outperforming both Bitcoin and Ethereum products, which saw heavy redemptions.

This divergence highlights growing institutional interest in select altcoins even as majors face pressure. However, ETF inflows alone have not been enough to offset weak spot participation or shift XRP’s chart structure.

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Institutional flows often act as a medium-term support rather than an immediate catalyst. Until ETF demand translates into improved spot liquidity, price action remains vulnerable to technical resistance.

Short-Term Charts Show Stabilization, Not Reversal

On the 1-hour chart, XRP is attempting to base above the $1.90 level after rebounding from the recent low near $1.78. Parabolic SAR dots have flipped below price, indicating short-term stabilization rather than renewed downside momentum.

However, Chaikin Money Flow remains negative, signaling that capital is still flowing out of the asset on intraday timeframes. This divergence shows that while selling pressure has slowed, buyers are not yet stepping in with conviction.

Price continues to consolidate beneath the $1.95–$1.98 resistance zone. A failure to reclaim this range keeps the recovery capped and exposes XRP to renewed tests of the channel floor.

Outlook. Will XRP Go Up?

XRP remains in a corrective structure despite improving ETF sentiment. The chart continues to favor sellers until key resistance levels are reclaimed.

• Bullish case: A daily close above $2.18 with rising volume would invalidate the descending channel and open the door toward $2.40 and $2.60.
• Bearish case: Losing $1.78 confirms continuation of the downtrend and exposes XRP to a deeper move toward $1.65.

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