Analysis: Bitcoin will take approximately 364 days to recover from its peak, and may bottom out at $37,500 in October 2026.

PANews reported on December 25th that crypto analyst Ali Charts stated that Bitcoin (BTC) price cycles exhibit significant patterns in both time and magnitude. Historically, Bitcoin takes approximately 1064 days to rise from a market bottom to a top, and approximately 364 days to fall from a top to the next bottom.

Specifically:

• Cycle 1: Bottomed out in January 2015 and peaked in December 2017, lasting 1064 days; the subsequent bear market lasted 364 days and bottomed out in December 2018.
• Cycle 2: Bottomed out in December 2018, peaked in November 2021, lasting 1064 days; bottomed out again in November 2022, with a price of approximately $15,500.
• Cycle 3 (Current): Bottomed out in November 2022, peaked in October 2025, with a price of approximately $126,200, consistent with a 1064-day pattern. If historical patterns continue, the next bottom may appear in October 2026, with an expected price of approximately $37,500, consistent with the historical average 80% retracement.