Central banks in various countries have been buying large amounts of gold for the past few years. The pattern is not simply seasonal fluctuation, but rather sustained accumulation.
XWIN Research Japan on CryptoQuant noted that since 2022, net additions of gold by central banks have exceeded 1,000 tons per year. If this trend continues until 2025, it will be the 16th consecutive year that they have strengthened their gold reserves.
This move is seen as a way to deal with currency risk, geopolitical uncertainty, and declining confidence in the fiat-based financial system. Gold is still considered the oldest and most reliable safeguard of wealth for governments.
However, the story doesn’t end there. On the other hand, there is one asset that is quietly moving into a “digital version” of that function: Bitcoin. However, the actors collecting it are different.
Source: CryptoQuant
According to XWIN Research Japan, Bitcoin held by a group of long-term holders is nearing an all-time high. The coins held by this group are rarely sold, even during strong price rallies.
Furthermore, the amount of Bitcoin on exchanges has been declining for over three years. This indicates that more and more owners are moving their assets to private storage. Simply put, the tradable supply is shrinking, while ownership interest is actually increasing.
Source: CryptoQuant
Furthermore, the demand infrastructure is also evolving. Spot ETFs, corporate treasury strategies, and even Bitcoin investment trials by several public institutions are emerging.
While gold is held by governments, Bitcoin is being held by citizens, institutions, and certain public funds. In many analyses, this is seen as a gradual shift that is not widely discussed, but is clearly visible in on-chain data.
The CNF reported a similar trend a few days ago: long-term Bitcoin holders remain passive, indicating high market confidence and a low risk of a major sell-off. The short-term correction is actually considered a healthy consolidation phase within the ongoing uptrend structure.
While long-term sentiment appears solid, the potential for short-term volatility remains. Geoffrey Kendrick, head of global digital asset research at Standard Chartered, predicts a temporary drop in Bitcoin below $100,000.
This prediction isn’t intended to be alarmist, but rather to assess that volatility-driven selling could resurface at any time, especially amid renewed tensions between the US and China and tighter macroeconomic conditions.
Nevertheless, Kendrick noted that the potential drop could present a buying opportunity for investors waiting to enter before Bitcoin resumes its long-term uptrend.
In the crypto world, such discounts are often fleeting—so those who hesitate often find themselves left to regret their position while staring at the charts.
Meanwhile, as of press time, BTC is trading at about $111,438, up 0.12% over the last 24 hours and 3.84% over the last 7 days.
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