Can Buyers Break Resistance And Finally Flip The Downtrend?

• ETH rebounds from $2,525 but still trades inside a steep descending channel.
• Buyers face a major test at $2,947 as compressed EMAs and trendline resistance block upside.
• Rising open interest shows aggressive long positioning, increasing volatility if ETH fails to clear $3,000.

Ethereum price today trades near $2,870, recovering from last week’s flush into the $2,525 liquidity pocket. The bounce has lifted short term momentum, but the broader structure still leans bearish as ETH trades inside a steep descending channel with sellers defending every retest of the upper boundary. 

Rebound Lifts ETH Into The Upper Channel But Structure Remains Heavy

ETH’s recovery from $2,525 has pushed price back toward the midline of the descending channel that has guided every leg lower since September. The reaction shows buyers stepping in at a key liquidity region highlighted by the volume profile, but the trend itself has not reversed. The channel’s upper boundary sits near $3,050 to $3,120, aligned with the heavy resistance block created in early November.

The RSI on the daily chart remains near 33, signaling that ETH bounced from oversold territory. However, prior rebounds in this channel have repeatedly failed at similar RSI levels, reinforcing that downward momentum still dominates the higher timeframe.

ETH Attempts To Break Intraday Trendline As EMAs Compress Above Price

On the 2 hour chart, ETH is attempting to break the descending trendline that has rejected all intraday upside since mid-November. The short term breakout attempt is visible, but overhead pressure remains heavy as the 20, 50, and 100 EMAs compress tightly between $2,815 and $2,947.

The first real battle sits at $2,947, where the 100 EMA on the 2 hour chart aligns with the upper Bollinger Band. A rejection here would mirror the previous failed swings and could push ETH back toward $2,806, the mid Band level.

Related: Hedera Price Prediction: Bulls Hold Support But Face Technical Resistance

Momentum is improving, but it is happening under a declining EMA structure. Until ETH pushes through the $2,947 to $3,000 resistance block, any breakout remains vulnerable to quick rejection.

Open Interest Rises As Buyers Increase Risk Exposure

Derivatives positioning shows traders adding exposure into the bounce. Open interest has risen 2.30 percent to $34.57 billion, confirming that the recovery is attracting fresh positioning rather than short covering alone. Volume is also up sharply, rising 25.65 percent to $73.14 billion, adding weight to the move.

Long-short ratios reveal a clear shift in bias. Binance’s top trader long-short ratio is above 2.85, while OKX sits at 1.81. This shows aggressive long positioning returning across exchanges. The risk is that heavily one-sided positioning often fuels sharp corrections if resistance rejects price.

Liquidations remain contained. Over the past 24 hours, only $49.57 million was liquidated, with longs accounting for $25.82 million and shorts for $23.75 million. The balanced liquidations indicate controlled leverage rather than panic.

If ETH breaks above $3,000 with strong participation, the rising open interest will support continuation. If ETH fails at the current levels, the crowded long side could amplify downside volatility.

Volume Profile Reveals Critical Levels Driving The Current Move

The visible range volume profile shows ETH bouncing from a high-volume node centered between $2,500 and $2,600. This is a structural demand shelf where buyers have repeatedly defended throughout 2024 and now again in November 2025.

Above current price, the next major volume block sits between $3,150 and $3,450, matching the 200 day EMA and the upper channel boundary. Sellers are active in this region and have defended it consistently across every attempt since October.

Below $2,500, the next high volume area does not appear until $2,050 to $2,200, which represents a deeper corrective zone and the base of the prior macro accumulation range.

The volume distribution confirms the importance of the $2,525 recovery. Losing this level would expose thin liquidity, forcing price quickly into lower support.

Outlook. Will Ethereum Go Up?

ETH’s next major swing depends on whether buyers can break the descending channel and reclaim the 200 day EMA.

• Bullish case: A close above $2,947 sets up a move into $3,132, the 200 day EMA. A breakout above this zone flips momentum and opens the path toward $3,450 and the upper channel target.
• Bearish case: Rejection at $2,947 or $3,000 sends price back toward $2,760. A breakdown below $2,525 exposes the wider liquidity pocket near $2,200 and confirms continuation inside the macro downtrend.

ETH strengthens only if it clears the channel and the EMA cluster. Until then, the broader trend stays defensive heading into December.