BTC Price Forecast for 2025: Binance Whales Turn Bullish

• The long/short account ratio for BTC on Binance has surged to 3.87, its highest level in more than three years, indicating a shift in sentiment among large traders.
• The ratio has increased significantly since BTC’s all-time high, when it was at multi-year lows below 0.6, and the price has fallen by over 35% since then.
• The increase in long positions could lead to a short-term rally in the price of BTC, but it’s also possible that the whales are simply hedging their positions or using perps to manage risk.

The long/short ratio of accounts for BTC on Binance has ballooned to 3.87, which is its peak value in more than three years. This ratio is a sentiment indicator that reflects the percentage of net long and net short accounts to the total accounts of the top 20% users with the highest margin balance. The figure was at its lowest point of the last few years, below 0.6, when after BTC hit an all-time high above $126,000 it has now risen dramatically.

A Reversal of Fortunes

The price of BTC has fallen by more than 35% since its all-time high in the last 45 days, while the long/short ratio has shot up to its highest levels for several years.

This means that the same group of large Binance accounts that were betting short on BTC perps have now turned to be net long on perps. The change in mood is significant as it implies that Binance whales have become even more bullish on BTC than at the all-time high.

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The Importance of Context

However, it should be noted that this measure refers to the direction of the perp account and not the risk of the entire portfolio. The net-short perp position at the peak could have been done to protect spot BTC that was gradually sold or distributed, or even to carry out basis trades. It is quite possible that part of today’s net-long perp position is due to the need to hedge short options or other off-exchange exposures rather than the execution of pure “bullish bets.”

Also Read: Bitcoin ETF Outflows Hit $2.8 Billion as Long Liquidations Spike to FTX-Era Levels

What Does it Mean for the Market?

Therefore, what does this change in mood mean for the market? The truth is that the long positions increase might result in a short-term rally of BTC, but the whales might be just hedging their positions or using perps for risk management. Like any other market indicator, it is vital to take into account the context and not jump to conclusions from a single data point.

Also Read: Bitcoin Holds Strong Above Key Level as Experts Eye Rally Toward $170,000

Conclusion

The rise of the long/short account ratio for BTC on Binance is a fascinating turn of events that points to a change in the sentiment of the large traders.

Although it is unclear what this could signify for the market, it is still necessary to take the context into account and not over-interpret a single data point. Market participants should also keep in mind other data points and technical indicators while interpreting this message to avoid drawing an incomplete picture of the ​‍​‌‍​‍‌​‍​‌‍​‍‌market.

Also Read: Bitcoin Whale Growth Signals Price Recovery Despite Selloff