XRP is currently at the $2.06 level, positioned just above the primary support at $2.0333. It’s trading below the short-term bearish EMA20 ($2.07), with critical tests expected within the sideways trend.
Current Price Position and Critical Levels
XRP is showing a narrow sideways movement in the $2.04-$2.07 range with a %0.83 drop over the last 24 hours. The current price at $2.06 forms a bearish short-term structure below EMA20 ($2.07). RSI at 49.99 is in the neutral zone, with no overbought/oversold conditions. The Supertrend indicator is giving a bearish signal and highlighting $2.32 resistance. A total of 12 strong levels have been identified across 1D/3D/1W timeframes: 3 supports/3 resistances in 1D, 2 resistances in 3D, and 3 supports/resistances confluences in 1W. This indicates a balanced but fragile market structure. The price is poised to test the $2.0333 support block; if it fails to hold, a downside liquidity hunt could trigger. Above, $2.0921 is the first obstacle.
Support Levels: Buyer Blocks
Primary Support
$2.0333 (Strength Score: 69/100) – This level stands out as XRP’s most critical buyer zone. Why? It’s the recent range low on the 1D timeframe (reflecting the recent $2.04 low) and an order block that has passed high-volume tests. There’s also strong support confluence on the 1W chart; rejected 3 times in the past, with buyer entries confirmed by volume spikes. Multi-timeframe confluence: 1D swing low + 1W demand zone. It also aligns with the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement (from the last rally). If held, it’s ideal for a bounce; historical data shows a 70% success rate for reversal signals. Invalidation: Break below $2.00, signaling weakness.
Secondary Support and Stop Levels
$1.9696 (Strength Score: 67/100) – Secondary support functioning as a breaker block on 1D. Demand zone remaining from the December 2025 rally; tested with volume twice, rejected with wicks. Support confluence on 3D (though weak), aligned with EMA50 (around $1.98). Why important? Liquidity pool gathered here; ideal for stop-loss hunts. If price reaches here, expect volume increase – buyers will step in.
$1.8915 (Strength Score: 62/100) – Third support, main demand area on 1W timeframe. Strong block from historical lows (2025 Q4); 4+ tests, high volume footprint. Confluence: 1W Fibonacci 0.786 + order block. This is the main invalidation point; break below activates $1.3876 downside target (R/R ratio 1:3+). Suggested stop level: below $1.88.
Resistance Levels: Seller Blocks
Near-Term Resistances
$2.0921 (Strength Score: 68/100) – Closest resistance, overlapping with current $2.07 EMA20 and 24h high ($2.07) supply zone. Strong rejection wicks on 1D (last 3 days), high seller volume. Why critical? Confluence with short-term Supertrend resistance; volume breakout required for break. Historical: 80% rejection rate over 5 tests.
Main Resistance and Targets
$2.2155 (Strength Score: 61/100) – Mid-term main resistance, 3D timeframe order block. Supply from November 2025 rally; 2 strong tests, pinbar reversals. Confluence: 3D EMA21 + 1W resistance. Break increases momentum, opening path to $2.3436.
$2.3436 (Strength Score: 61/100) – Upper level target, 1W swing high. Strong breaker; overlaps with POC (point of control) in volume profile. Alignment with Supertrend $2.32. Upside target opens door to $2.6975 (Fib 1.618 extension). Break confirmation: Daily close above + rising volume.
Liquidity Map and Big Players
XRP liquidity map shows dense stop-loss clusters below supports (especially $2.00-$1.89) – big players (whales) may be positioning for this liquidity grab. Sell limit orders expected in $2.09-$2.34 range above; imbalance zones targeting here. Order flow analysis: Buyer imbalance at $2.03, seller at $2.10 in last 1W. Big players likely planning long squeeze on $2.0333 hold, short covering on break. Volume at $699M is low; spikes could cause explosions at levels. Fair value gaps in $2.10-$2.20 awaiting closure.
Bitcoin Correlation
BTC at $95,304 in uptrend but Supertrend bearish – caution for altcoins. XRP 0.85 correlated with BTC; if BTC loses $94,467 support (main support), XRP tests $2.0333, potential cascade to $1.96. If BTC resistances $95,740-$97,924 break, XRP can rally to $2.21+. Dominance rise (despite BTC Supertrend bearish) signals alt-less rally; XRP liquidity sweeps increase. Watch: BTC below $93k – XRP major downside.
Trading Plan and Level-Based Strategy
Level-based outlook: Hold above $2.0333 – long bias, first target $2.0921 (R/R 1:2), stop below $2.00. Downside break – short from $2.06, targets $1.9696-$1.8915 (R/R 1:3), invalidation above $2.10. Upside scenario: $2.0921 break + retest – targets $2.3436-$2.6975. Downside: $2.0333 loss – depth to $1.3876. Detailed data for XRP Spot Analysis and XRP Futures Analysis. This outlook is price action based; market is dynamic.
This analysis uses Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal’s market views and methodology.
Source: https://en.coinotag.com/analysis/xrp-support-and-resistance-analysis-critical-levels-january-18-2026

