XLM Price Prediction: Weekly Structure Points to $0.40 Resistance Target

Stellar’s native token XLM recorded fresh gains on Monday as buyers pushed prices higher across exchanges. CoinMarketCap data shows the token rises nearly 4.76% over the past 24 hours, extending its weekly recovery momentum.

At the time of writing, XLM is trading at $0.18 with a 24-hour trading volume of around $241 million, according to CoinMarketCap. Market capitalization climbed about 4.6% during the session, though analysts caution that the broader weekly trend remains under bearish control.

Also Read: Stellar Network Enables First On-Chain UBI, Pushing XLM Price To $0.51

Weekly Structure Keeps Long-Term Pressure Intact

On the weekly timeframe, XLM continues to move within a prolonged bearish structure formed since mid-2025, marked by consistent lower highs and lower lows. Price action remains below major moving averages including the 20, 50, 100, and 200 EMAs, reinforcing seller dominance on higher timeframes.

Bollinger Bands show price trading close to the lower range near the $0.14 region, reflecting persistent downside pressure rather than a full capitulation event. Strong resistance now sits between $0.25 and $0.26, where the Bollinger midline and multiple EMA levels converge, creating a supply zone that bulls must reclaim to change the trend.

Immediate downside targets remain around $0.17, followed by $0.14 if selling pressure returns. A deeper breakdown could expose $0.11–$0.12 levels. From the TradingView chart, it is clear that for XLM to rise, it needs to close above the $0.22 level weekly, followed by a close above the $0.26 level, to rise to the region of

Momentum Indicators Signal Weak Recovery Attempt

The momentum indicators suggest a slight tick up, but the overall picture is one of favoring the sellers. On the weekly chart, the RSI is hovering around 32.8, below its 36.8 moving average, indicating weak momentum and a slight sense of being over-sold. For a strong rally to begin, it would need to rise above 40, according to TradingView.

Meanwhile, the MACD remains in the red, and the line continues to decline, passing below the signal line. The bars on the histogram are decreasing in size, which is an indication of diminishing selling pressure, but we are not yet certain of a bullish crossover to signify a shift in the trend.

Why This Matters

For those looking to make gains from the price movements of XLM, the resistance levels at $0.22 and $0.26 need to be monitored, as a failure to break past these levels could see the price drop to levels around $0.17 to $0.14.

Before entering any new trades, the price movements need to be monitored, as a break past the $0.26 level could see the price rise to levels around $0.38 to $0.40.

Also Read: Stellar (XLM) Eyes $0.28 as U.S. Bank Enters Stellar Stablecoin Market