XRP Price Prediction: Break-Even Clues Flash as Reset Phase Unfolds

XRP’s SOPR Reset Signals Cooling Sell Pressure and Potential Base-Building Phase

XRP is back in the spotlight as on-chain data signals a possible turning point in market sentiment and positioning. XRP Update notes the 30-day EMA of XRP’s Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) slipping toward the pivotal 1.0 mark, widely seen as a psychological and structural “reset” level where profit-taking and loss-selling often reach equilibrium.

SOPR shows whether coins moved on-chain are being sold at a profit or a loss compared to their purchase price. A value above 1.0 signals profit-taking, while below 1.0 indicates losses. 

When SOPR sits near 1.0, coins are changing hands around their cost basis, reflecting a market at breakeven and often a key decision point for trend direction.

Notably, XRP’s moving back to this level stands out as a change in market behavior. Instead of heavy profit-taking that fuels sustained sell pressure, many traders appear to be closing near break-even. This points to a shakeout of weaker hands rather than the frothy, overbought conditions often seen at local tops.

XRP’s SOPR Reset Signals Market Rebalance and Potential Base-Building Phase

Historically, SOPR resets tend to follow sharp volatility and signal a cooling-off phase where the market rebalances. 

Speculative excess gets flushed out, supply shifts to longer-term holders, and price often stabilizes within a range, a process analysts call “base building” that can precede a clearer trend.

While a reset doesn’t guarantee an immediate rally, it can strengthen market structure. With fewer holders sitting on large unrealized gains, sell pressure typically eases, reducing downside risk and making price more sensitive to fresh catalysts like regulatory clarity, ecosystem expansion, or broader crypto momentum.

Per CoinCodex, XRP trades around $1.38, near key psychological levels. On-chain signals suggest a market reset rather than overheating. 

Sustained support, rising SOPR, and healthy volume could signal base-building, offering traders early insight into whether XRP will consolidate or stage its next major move.

Conclusion

XRP’s return to the 1.0 SOPR threshold signals a market reset, with selling near break-even rather than heavy profit-taking. Historically, this zone marks reduced pressure and early consolidation, potentially paving the way for healthier price action. 

Therefore,  monitoring on-chain metrics and key support near $1.38 may offer early insights into whether XRP is stabilizing or gearing up for its next trend.