Miners have stopped selling Bitcoin since February, while whales have amassed 270,000 BTC. The Bitcoin price above $62,000 on April 20 market sits at 99.6% YES.
Bitcoin exchange reserves are at 2.679 million BTC, the lowest since 2017. The April 18 and April 20 markets both show high confidence in prices remaining above $62,000. Traders appear to be pricing in these supply dynamics continuing to push prices higher, even with ongoing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran. The consistent odds across both dates suggest traders expect no near-term relief from these supply constraints.
The April 18 market shows 99.9% YES. Both dates carry high liquidity: the April 18 market trades $89,134 in actual USDC daily. The April 20 market is thinner at $1,686 in daily USDC volume. It would take $62,837 to move the April 20 market by 5 percentage points, which points to reasonable stability.
The absence of miner selling, combined with whale accumulation of 270,000 BTC, supports a bullish read. The market is treating constrained supply as a precursor to a price rally. Buying YES at 99.6¢ yields a 1.004x return with low risk, but requires these supply constraints to hold through April 20.
Watch for regulatory developments from the SEC or CFTC that could shift sentiment. Energy market moves tied to US-Iran tensions could also affect Bitcoin mining operations and, by extension, supply dynamics.
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Source: https://cryptobriefing.com/bitcoin-miners-halt-sales-whales-accumulate-270000-btc-since-february/
