Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has outlined a detailed technical outlook for XRP in a recent post on X, emphasizing a combination of exponential moving averages and Elliott Wave theory to support a bullish scenario. His analysis focuses on the monthly timeframe, where he identifies the 50 EMA as a key level currently holding price structure.
According to the post, XRP’s previous market cycle saw price action wick down to the 100 EMA, which he describes as a final accumulation zone before a major upward move.
In contrast, the current cycle appears to show reduced selling pressure and a more stable structure. He states that the market is maturing, which may result in less aggressive downward movements compared to prior cycles.
Egrag Crypto suggests that the 50 EMA is now acting as a base, reinforcing the idea that XRP may not revisit deeper levels. While he does not completely rule out a move toward the 100 EMA, he indicates that such a scenario would likely be brief and represent a limited opportunity rather than a prolonged correction.
A central component of the analysis is the identification of an ongoing Elliott Wave pattern. Egrag Crypto outlines that XRP has already completed Wave 1, defined as the breakout phase, followed by Wave 2, which involved a corrective movement. He now asserts that the asset has entered Wave 3, typically considered the strongest phase in an Elliott Wave cycle.
He highlights that Wave 3 often extends to at least 1.618 times the length of Wave 1, which forms the basis for his projected price range. In this case, he estimates a potential move toward levels between $15 and $31. This projection aligns with the visual chart he shared, which includes an upward price channel and Fibonacci extensions supporting these targets.
The chart also integrates the 50 EMA and 100 EMA as dynamic support levels, reinforcing the structural argument. Egrag Crypto presents this alignment of indicators as evidence that XRP is transitioning from an accumulation phase into an expansion phase.
In terms of strategy, Egrag Crypto states that the 50 EMA should be viewed as an accumulation zone under current conditions. He adds that any dip toward the 100 EMA would represent a rare entry opportunity within the broader trend.
His approach emphasizes gradual accumulation, suggesting that market participants consider dollar-cost averaging while adding more positions during periods of weakness.
He also addresses risk and reward, noting that waiting for lower prices could result in missed positioning if the anticipated expansion phase continues without significant pullbacks.
He indicates that early positioning aligns with how more experienced market participants approach such setups. Egrag Crypto concludes that XRP’s current structure favors strength as long as the 50 EMA holds.
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