Will Q2 Close and Q3 Open With Bitcoin Overtaking Google Market Cap Again?

• Bitcoin trails Alphabet Inc. by over $3T, widening the gap despite both posting recent gains.
• Q3 average return near 6% suggests limited upside compared to stronger Q4 performance trends.
• Santiment data shows Bitcoin rising $90K-$99K calls as recovery fuels bullish sentiment.

Bitcoin’s position relative to Alphabet Inc. is drawing renewed attention as the second quarter approaches its close, with market data showing a wide valuation gap despite concurrent gains in both assets.

According to the latest data, Bitcoin has a total market capitalization of approximately $1.54 trillion, while Alphabet has reached about $4.62 trillion after a strong earnings-driven rally. This gap shows the scale of movement required for Bitcoin to repeat its previous crossover, which last occurred in August 2025 when the cryptocurrency surpassed Alphabet’s valuation.

Market Gap Widens as Alphabet Surges

Alphabet’s recent performance has expanded the gap between the two assets. The company recorded a 9.97% daily gain, adding roughly $310 billion in market value, supported by quarterly revenue of $109.9 billion.

Growth in its cloud segment, which rose 63% to $20 billion, alongside a reported backlog nearing $460 billion, contributed to the increase. As a result, Alphabet now ranks among the top global assets by market capitalization, while Bitcoin holds a lower position despite a 2.09% daily price increase to $77,019.

Bitcoin Historical Patterns and Q3 Outlook

Quarterly performance data from Coinglass shows that Bitcoin entered 2026 with a 22.2% decline in Q1, followed by a 12.17% recovery in Q2. Historical trends show that Q2 has delivered both strong gains and declines, while Q3 typically records more moderate movements. 

Source: Coinglass

Average returns place Q3 at approximately 6.05%, lower than Q4, which has historically produced the strongest gains. This pattern implies that while recovery phases can extend into Q3, the magnitude of movement has generally been smaller compared to other quarters.

Price Projections and Market Sentiment

Data from Santiment highlights increased social media activity around bullish price expectations in the $90,000 to $99,000 range, alongside bearish projections between $50,000 and $59,000. The shift corresponds to heightened engagement following Bitcoin’s recent recovery.

Meanwhile, analyst Michael van de Poppe pointed to historical post-correction trends, noting that Bitcoin has often traded 30% to 60% above its lows within three to six months. Based on this pattern, he indicated a possible move toward $100,000 during Q3 2026.

Related: This Is Why Bitcoin Could Flip Gold’s Market Cap Sooner Than You Think