Viral BTC post claims $145,000 for 2026 amid doubt

A social media post making the rounds again claims to have accurately predicted many of Bitcoin‘s price levels between 2019 and 2024, pointing to an anonymous forecast item. In the viral image, October 2026 is marked as the final target, with a price of $145,000. However, there are significant questions about the origins and credibility of both the data and the visual itself.

Source cannot be verified

The viral screenshot was recently shared by the crypto account Corleone and is purportedly an anonymous 4chan-style post from December 20, 2018. The image suggests a single group holds about 90% of all Bitcoin supply and lists various price targets from October 2019 through October 2026.

At first glance, the predictions seem remarkably accurate. For example, Bitcoin traded near $67,000 in November 2021 and dropped to around $16,000 during the bear market bottom in November 2022. These matches quickly drew widespread attention to the post.

The biggest problem is the lack of an archive link, username, or any identifying markers to tie the post back to a single user. 4chan is built for anonymous posting, so without an archived source, it is impossible to prove whether these predictions were made before the events they allegedly foresaw.

Price targets change over time

A July 2024 Binance Square post featured similar claims: “we hold about 90% of total supply,” with matching price forecasts. Notably, this older version projected a Bitcoin price of $105,400 for September 2024.

But in the new viral image, the September 2024 price is now set at $74,000, and a new $145,000 target for October 2026 has been added. These discrepancies suggest that the post or the list of predictions has been altered over time to reflect actual market movements more closely.

Market cap figures do not align

The viral image also claims that the $145,000 target would result in a $5.7 trillion market cap and Bitcoin dominance between 40% and 47%. However, with about 20 million Bitcoin in circulation, a $145,000 price places the market cap at around $2.9 trillion. Even assuming the full 21 million supply, the cap would be approximately $3.05 trillion.

This means the $5.7 trillion figure does not add up mathematically for Bitcoin alone. If it refers to the total crypto market, the claim fails to give clear context, further undermining the post’s credibility.

The 90% supply claim conflicts with data

Another striking allegation in the viral post is that one group controls about 90% of all Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s circulating supply is approximately 20.04 million, with a hard cap of 21 million. A 90% concentration would equal roughly 18 million BTC.

Bitinfocharts data shows the top 100 Bitcoin addresses only control about 15.27% of total supply, while the largest 10,000 addresses hold around 53.89%. Bitinfocharts is a data platform tracking blockchain distribution and wealth rankings.

This evidence makes clear that the claim of 90% concentration is not supported by current on-chain data. Consequently, there is no proof at this point that an anonymous 4chan user accurately predicted major Bitcoin price swings through 2026.

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