Anonymous 4chan post claims BTC at $145,000 by 2026

A social media post making the rounds again has brought renewed attention to an anonymous prediction that allegedly forecasted multiple key Bitcoin price levels between 2019 and 2024. The prediction, widely shared as a screenshot, sets a final target of $145,000 for BTC in October 2026. However, there are significant questions regarding the source and authenticity of both the data and the accompanying image.

Source authenticity under scrutiny

The screenshot, reportedly posted by the crypto account Corleone, is dated December 20, 2018 and purportedly originates from a 4chan-style anonymous forum thread. In the image, a group is claimed to hold approximately 90% of all Bitcoin supply, accompanied by specific price targets spanning from October 2019 to October 2026.

At first glance, the predictions appear unusually accurate. For example, BTC traded around $67,000 in November 2021 and about $16,000 during the bear market bottom in November 2022, echoing the forecast. This perceived accuracy has fueled substantial social media interest.

The biggest issue is that the screenshot lacks any verifiable archive link, user handle, or identifying marker that could definitively link the predictions to a single individual before the events occurred. Given 4chan’s fundamentally anonymous nature, without a preserved and timestamped source, it is impossible to confirm the predictions were made prior to the developments they anticipate.

Changes between old and new versions raise doubts

A Binance Square post from July 2024 features nearly identical language about holding “approximately 90% of total supply” and similar price targets. However, in this older version, the anticipated BTC price for September 2024 was listed as $105,400.

In the latest viral image, the September 2024 target is now $74,000 and a new goal of $145,000 for October 2026 has appeared. These changes strengthen suspicions that both the visuals and the forecast list may have been altered over time to better match Bitcoin’s real price movements.

Market cap math doesn’t add up

The image also claims a $145,000 BTC price would lead to a $5.7 trillion market cap and Bitcoin dominance between 40% and 47%. However, with about 20 million BTC in circulation, a $145,000 unit price yields a market cap near $2.9 trillion. Even based on the maximum 21 million supply, the figure would be approximately $3.05 trillion.

Therefore, using $5.7 trillion as Bitcoin’s market cap is mathematically inaccurate. If the intent was to refer to the entire crypto market’s capitalization, this is unclear from the wording, adding to questions about the post’s credibility.

The 90% supply claim is inconsistent with blockchain data

Another striking claim in the post is that a specific group controls 90% of total supply. Bitcoin’s circulating supply is about 20.04 million, on a maximum possible 21 million. So, 90% control would imply around 18 million BTC held by a single group—an assertion requiring strong evidence.

According to data from Bitinfocharts, the top 100 Bitcoin addresses collectively control about 15.27% of total supply, while the top 10,000 addresses hold roughly 53.89%. Bitinfocharts monitors blockchain address sharing and wealth distribution data in real time.

This data directly contradicts the viral image’s 90% claim, showing that no group comes close to such overwhelming control. As a result, there is no confirmed evidence that an anonymous 4chan user correctly predicted major Bitcoin price movements up to 2026.

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