Bitcoin flashes sign for 15% move; Is $100k next?

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to show strength above the $90,000 level, technical indicators suggest the asset is positioning for a potential move higher.

In this context, the cryptocurrency is showing signs of a significant price move as it continues to compress within a well-defined symmetrical triangle on the four-hour chart, a structure that often precedes sharp volatility.

According to market analysis highlighted by Ali Martinez in an X post on January 4, the ongoing consolidation points to a potential breakout of around 15%, bringing a decisive move into focus for traders and investors.

The outlook indicates that the asset is trading within a tightening range, reflecting declining volatility and growing market indecision, conditions that typically resolve with a strong directional move once the price breaks out.

The upper resistance trendline currently caps price action just below the $91,000–$92,000 zone, while rising support has held above the $86,800 area.

A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance would imply a measured move of roughly 15%, placing Bitcoin near or above the psychologically important $100,000 level. 

Such a move would likely be reinforced by momentum traders re-entering the market after the prolonged consolidation period. Conversely, a breakdown below the ascending support would open the door to a corrective move toward the low $80,000s, though current price action favors an upside test.

Bitcoin moves past $90,000

It is worth noting that Bitcoin rallied above the $91,000 mark on Sunday as risk appetite improved across the broader cryptocurrency market, extending the early 2026 rebound in major digital assets.

The advance was fueled in part by a sharp liquidation event that flushed out crowded positions and reset near-term leverage. Roughly $180 million in futures positions were liquidated over the past 24 hours, with short positions accounting for about $133 million. This imbalance suggests many traders were positioned against the move, triggering forced buybacks as prices climbed.

Geopolitical developments also contributed to the rally. Fast-moving headlines out of Venezuela added to market volatility and encouraged risk-taking, reinforcing the upward push in Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.

Bitcoin price analysis 

By press time, Bitcoin was trading at $91,460, up about 2% over the past 24 hours. On a weekly basis, BTC is up more than 4%.

As things stand, Bitcoin is trading above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), with the price around $91,555 compared with the 50-day SMA near $90,018, indicating that short- to medium-term momentum remains constructive. However, the price remains well below the 200-day SMA at roughly $99,664, suggesting the broader trend has yet to fully turn bullish and that overhead resistance remains significant.

The 14-day RSI stands at 56.48, placing Bitcoin in neutral territory. This reading reflects modest upside momentum without signs of overbought conditions, implying room for further gains if buying pressure strengthens, though not yet enough conviction to signal a strong trend continuation.

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