Stop gambling within the framework of "fortune": Don't ask AI if it will buy; first talk to it about your mindset and current situation.

Author: Sleeping in the Rain

Human instinct drives us to act immediately when faced with problems, as if action could offset anxiety about the unknown. However, the biggest trap is that rapid action often doesn't match the resources invested. Most people's actions are merely pseudo-diligence to alleviate anxiety. When the speed of action exceeds the precision of thought, your capital expenditure is no longer an investment, but a gamble—you're using tactical diligence to mask strategic laziness.

This is a problem that everyone will encounter. However, the ability to confront this problem directly and come up with effective solutions can truly widen the gap between people.

Remember, think before you act.

Step 1: Find your unique strengths

0xlykt once wrote two articles describing how to "Finding Edge".

I suggest you read these two articles first before continuing.

In simple terms, 0xlykt has built a framework that helps the general public seek opportunities in the current crypto market environment. Its core idea is to encourage market participants to actively choose tables that suit them and have plenty of fish, and engage in positive-sum games with them.

However, I think that although these two articles are of reference value, the things they describe have a high threshold and a single path, and are too idealistic and not suitable for everyone.

Personally, I believe that in practice, we can find a suitable and effective path by engaging with AI. As @Wuhuoqiu mentioned, "AI is not a 'cognitive leveler,' but a 'cognitive leverage amplifier.'"

The specific form of the prompts varies from person to person; the core idea lies in analysis and extension. Analyze your own personality, cognitive framework, and ability framework to extend the execution strategies and details for different situations.

Don't ask AI how to make money, whether to buy or sell; instead, share your thoughts and current situation with AI.

Talking with AI:

Your childhood, personality, hobbies, and early life experiences;

Your investment experience and insights, and your predictions for the future;

Your preferred targets, holdings, rationale, and holding period;

What opportunities did you miss, and why?

One thing to note here is that AI prefers to agree with you, so you need to identify points in its responses that you don't understand or have doubts about, and continue the discussion. In other words, you need to remind the AI not to be a yes-man, but to refute you with reason and evidence.

This dialogue is essentially a conversation between your outward appearance and your inner self, often involving confrontation. The conversation should be an upstream endeavor, not a downstream one.

Both your strengths and potential strengths will be revealed during the conversation. After all, using AI for elimination is far more efficient than thinking and implementing things one by one. The real test then comes your ability to leverage your strengths to make money.

Step 2: Establish the execution system framework

Finding an advantage is essentially finding a way to make money. But once you find that direction, it's not all over yet; you need to keep going and build a systematic framework for your subsequent execution.

The core goal of building a system framework is to enable you to react quickly in a dynamic market—to respond rapidly based on different market conditions and types of opportunities.

The core of building a system framework is review and summarization.

For example.

If you reviewed the $AERO pump-and-dump process (opening, Coinbase spot listing, and pump-and-dump timing, etc.), you wouldn't have missed the $ZORA pump-and-dump opportunity. Both transactions correspond to Coinbase's core needs. $AERO corresponds to the Cancun upgrade; Coinbase needs to drive up the price of $AERO to capture liquidity for Base. Similarly, $ZORA corresponds to Coinbase's core needs. Coinbase is betting its future on the Base App and Creator Coins, and Zora is a core component of Base's new phase. Coinbase needs to pump the price of $ZORA to expand the influence of Base and Creator Coins. In my opinion, the opportunities presented by $AERO and $ZORA are essentially the same.

Reviewing and summarizing is not limited to summarizing experiences from each individual transaction, but rather to extracting the underlying logical commonalities from individual cases and transforming them into a reusable decision-making model: signal recognition → logic verification → execution entry.

at last

After all this rambling, what I really want to say is to know yourself. Most of the pain in trading often stems from the mismatch between personality and positions. Give up the illusion of being all-powerful; human ability has its limits. You can't have it all. Find or cultivate your strengths, and use those strengths and the skill framework built upon them to make money.

Happy New Year to everyone!