PANews reported on January 8th that prediction markets are betting on Trump's next target. Following a mysterious trader who profited over $400,000 by accuratelyPANews reported on January 8th that prediction markets are betting on Trump's next target. Following a mysterious trader who profited over $400,000 by accurately
Market activity surges following US strikes against Venezuela.
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PANews reported on January 8th that prediction markets are betting on Trump's next target. Following a mysterious trader who profited over $400,000 by accurately predicting Maduro's impending loss of leadership in Venezuela, the prediction platform Polymarket has added contracts allowing users to bet on whether the US will soon launch an attack on Colombia or Cuba. This is just one of many war-related contracts on the platform, operating in a legal and ethical gray area, gaining increasing attention as investors reassess geopolitics against the backdrop of the Trump administration's more assertive foreign policy. Traders currently believe there is a 36% probability that Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei will be ousted by June 30th, up from less than 20% before the US action against Venezuela. As for Trump taking over Greenland by the end of the year, the probability remains low but is rising.
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